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July 20, 2023
Lying about and that was the the dud rate could have been as high as 10% but the us now say it is down to around 2% but we dont have the facts on that. the reason so many countries are signed up to it is the long term lag effect they have on civilians once conflict ends. children, sometimes a small bump of the yellow tag on them, they see them as something curious and then they go off. โโ a small bomb. the ukrainians have asked for these, they are not signatories. russia has used these clust...
July 11, 2023
Charles. hinting its a possibility. they have been what they call data dependent so as news comes out, they make adjustments, i will say over the last going back to last friday. you had three key members of the federal reserve suggest last friday last friday austan goolsbee talked about golden path. fed members as well new york fed president also sounding optimistic. the economy is long, we know as that happens that inflation will start to pull back on its own and there is this lag effect. imagi...
July 7, 2023
Where do you see us going from here and you mentioned the fed, dave. are you worried that jay powell will go too far? that happens to be a major concern of mine. >> mine too, charles. you and i have shared this same concern the last six months. if you look at where the jobs were at, education is, government and healthcare, are you -- in what world does an interest rate of .8 or quarter point change that hiring rate? what we need to look at are the sectors that are sensitive to interest rates. th...
June 28, 2023
Be re-elected? it certainly feels like _ be re-elected? it certainly feels like a _ be re-elected? it certainly feels like a risky _ be re-elected? it certainly feels like a risky strategy i feels like a risky strategy considering many people still believe the us could fall into recession later this year under the pressure of very high interest rates and tighter credit conditions on the back of the kind of miniโbank crisis fallut from the second quarter of this year. of course, he noses that p...
June 27, 2023
Momentum of property sales and then the second is infrastructure spending which tends to help lead the recovery in the early stages and has been very slow to get going and the reason for that is local government finances have just been stressed. the implementation of the zero covid infrastructure last year was very expensive. for a lot of local governments there is still โโ they are still in repair mode so the lag effect of monetary policy and fiscal policy into the economy is slower this ye...
June 9, 2023
This is about 2024. this is about preventing the front-runner from remaining the front-runner. what happened with alvin bragg, it will have the other effect. there will be rally around the flag effect and how they handle this will signal how they feel about whether or not we live in a two-tiered system of justice and they are willing to fight back against it. sad day. >> emily: kayleigh? >> kayleigh: we have president of the united states, administration has indicted his chief political rival. i...
May 3, 2023
Frankly, russia has no place to escalate to. its not saving some secret weapon. its really out of capability. the reason that people think about false flag is russia is constantly lying about all different sorts of things. theres evidence that putin came to power on a bunch of bombings in moscow and used that to rally around the flag effect to get the population behind him and demonstrate he was the one to take the country forward. this was all the way back in 2000. in reality, if you follow the...
April 20, 2023
Would price that income you cant anticipate anything less when inflation is above 10% at many forecasters do think because of they say favourable comparisons with last year, we will see inflation fall rapidly over the course of the next six months and the bank of england is of that belief as well, already to key policy makers on the policy committee have been voting to not raise rates anymore and we expect that number to increase over coming months. there may be to moderate rights but it is hard...
April 14, 2023
Here is trending even higher than that, and i think certainly everyone would like a 35% or even a 20% pay rise but i think this problem can be resolved, perhaps in the form of a flat five or 6% in the way that the nurses strike was resolved and the lump sum payment so i think going forward, the chancellor has got a tricky balancing act and i think he said to me a few months ago when i last spoke to you i did not expect the uk economy to be actually doing is actually well as it is than when we sp...
April 12, 2023
About the fact that israel seems to be distracted, that this is a moment of vulnerability that israels enemies can exploit and pre predicting that israel may crumble under the weight of internal problems and not last until its 80th year. if theres a silver lining for netanyahu and the israeli government, often times when you have external security threats, theres kind of a rally around the flag effect where people become more supportive of the government, like frankly, we saw in the u.s. after 9...