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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240711

Onwelcome all of you Bloomberg Radio across this nation and bloomberg television. Extraordinary Market Action yesterday, truly historic. We will get to that in just a moment with someone who has a wonderful test but a wonderful tapestry of the history of the market. First weve got to get to the news flow. Are we still doing election 2020, or have we moved on from that . Jonathan i think it may come back on the agenda, but today is as yesterday once again, just a little flavor of mondays price action. You will find it in names like amc entertainment, and the airlines. You will find it at the index level. The relative performance of the russell versus the nasdaq continues. You could drive a truck through it this morning. Russell futures are up by about 1. 6 . Nasdaq futures are negative on the session. Cyclicality starting to come back into this market. Youve got to ask yourself where the risk is in this market, and the risk for many people in this market is where people thought was safe

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

The shock of the president s tweet, after down 600 points on the dow, there were two followon tweets. Adjust too amend and the specificity of what he desires versus the senate. They want nothing, Senate Republicans, and Speaker Pelosi wants more omnibus legislation. Jonathan speaker mcconnell got on the phone to the president said that pelosi was leading them along, and that anything they agreed on would not pass in the senate. That is the story. The distance between mnuchin and Senate Republicans was bigger than the distance between mnuchin and house democrats. Those two tweets overnight, lets go through both of them. The idea that he agrees with chairman powell, sure. That is political posturing. The checks for everyday americans, that was in the skinny bill republicans produced in the senate that went nowhere a month ago. We are at square one, and we never really left. Tom at the bottom of the hour, Rudy Giuliani is joining us, a ille confidant of an president. The 30 year bond gets

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

This is ferro at his worst. [laughter] his cruelest. Thering mr. Betts into conversation this early, we say good morning on Bloomberg Radio in boston. The red sox, worst in the american league. And we move on from there. 15 days until the election. Schenker earlier, is there going to be a debate thursday night . Is that still up in the air . Jonathan we understand there will be a debate thursday night, but who knows . Thats the problem for this market. My question coming into this week is basically how much of the mediumterm outlook hinges on what happens in the next two weeks. How many of our Market Participants have come on this program and actually believe that . Tom we have two people could talking melt up. Ben laidler at our hudson and Chris Verrone at tower hudson, and Chris Verrone. He is looking at the number of stocks above their 200 Day Moving Average and other smoke and mirrors to really get him a bullish cast. You wonder if it is the markets expecting out into next year. Jo

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

Tom keene, Jonathan Ferro off today, both playing hooky as we get ready for the long Labor Day Weekend in the United States. Im lucky, though. Paul sweeney, my former cohost on bloomberg radio, joining us today. It is so telling that we are showing an image of washington, d. C. Because it was too cloudy in new york city, and perhaps that is a metaphor right now. Very cloudy in new york city for the future for a lot of things. Very much the focus on washington, d. C. As people wait for some signs of fiscal support , as people wait for some signs of just how contested this election in november is going to be. Paul i think all eyes are going to be turning towards washington. This is then thetion, more nearterm fiscal stimulus. The question is, does this economy need more . A lot of folks are saying yes, but we need to get congress back at the bargaining table. They seem to be pretty far apart at this point. Lisa we will find out. Right now, markets unfazed. They are indicated to open at n

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

Weve already had some great conversations this morning. We drive that forward in this hour, and out to jon ferros the open at 9 00. We are really going to focus on the dominion Warren Buffett transaction, which i find absolutely fascinating. Within all of this is a lift to the market because the government has the back of the financial system. The dominant feature right now is the certitude of 1 trillion here or 1 trillion they to buoy the economy up into the end of the year. Jonathan maybe another 1 trillion this month as well. Theres a huge debate taking place in washington. It is not a matter of when. They will do this. It is not a matter of how big. It will be large. It is a matter of the composition, what they agree on a moment. I am edging there is going to be some pushback down in washington in the next several weeks. Futures up 38, dow futures up 374, so a real lift to the has as aea all of this backdrop dependent. It is really a mixed picture. Theres no russian about that area

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