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Manchin democrat. but were going back to steve kornacki at this point. >> i havent added enough wrinkles. im going to add one more there is two x factors. one is the remaining outstanding vote. no change in that since the last time i came on. two, then, the absentee situation. now let me give you three. state law in pennsylvania calls for a recount if the final margin in a race is within half a percentage point. 0.5. well, these are not the exact numbers. the exact numbers right now are conor la...