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Euro Recovers on Eurozone PMIs, But Gains Limited

As trading progresses into US session, activity in the forex markets remains relatively muted. Euro is showing signs of recovery ahead of key support levels against Dollar and crucial support against Sterling. Eurozone PMIs revealed that economic recovery is strengthening, with Germany, the region's largest economy, finally catching up. Despite this positive data, Euro's gains are still modest.
United Kingdom Hong Kong New Zealand Melissa Mckenzie Jingyi Pan Chris Williamson

Yen Weakens Amidst Subdued Trading, Aussie Up ahead of RBA

Yen weakens broadly in Asian session, albeit in a subdued market environment due to Japan's holiday. Despite this, the selloff in the Japanese currency remains relatively contained, with traders vigilant of market intervention by Japan. While 160 level against Dollar is currently considered a floor for Yen, uncertainty persists regarding Japan's desired exchange rate, which they officially said it's not targeted. Nevertheless, absent further actions by the authority, the range for...
Hong Kong United Kingdom United States New Zealand Michele Bullock Swati Dhingra

Focus on RBA as Australian Dollar Maintains Strength

As the market transitions into US session, Australian Dollar maintains its position as the strongest currency of the day. While no significant economic data is expected from the US or Canada, the focus shifts to appearances by SNB Chair Thomas Jordan, as well as Fed officials Thomas Barkin and John Williams. However, traders are expected to look through these events, anticipating insights from the RBA's decision.
Hong Kong United Kingdom Thomas Jordan Warren Hogan Thomas Barkin John Williams

Sterling and Euro Rebound on PMIs, But No Turn Around Yet

Sterling and Euro rebound broadly today, bolstered by encouraging PMI data that suggests continued recovery momentum in both UK and Eurozone. For the Pound, the latest PMI readings indicate that UK's recovery from last year's recession is gathering pace. Meanwhile, rising cost pressures, particularly in the services sector, are heightening concerns about the sustainability of disinflation progress. These concerns are echoed by some BoE officials, who appear hesitant to consider interes...
New Zealand South Korea Hong Kong United Kingdom Jonathan Haskel Shunichi Suzuki

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Aussie Gains on Solid PMIs and RBA Hike Possibility

Australian Dollar trades broadly higher today, lifted partly by resurgence in risk sentiment, as well as robust PMI data reflecting the cyclical recovery in Australian economy. Improvement in the economic outlook reduces the immediate need of a rate cut by RBA. Judo Bank, who complied the PMI data, warned about the possibility for another rate hike if economic activity continues to pick up while inflation remains elevated.
United Kingdom New Zealand South Korea Hong Kong Warren Hogan Kazuo Ueda

Fed Powell and Soft Data Dampen Dollar, While Commodity Boom Propels Aussie

Dollar was sold off overnight after weaker than expected ISM Services data, and the weakness persisted following comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Powell downplayed the significance of recent robust labor and inflation figures, suggesting them as fluctuations in "bumpy road" of moderating demand and inflation. This narrative reinforces the market's anticipation that Fed is still leaning towards three rate cuts this year over just two. Though, the upcoming non-farm payroll dat...
Hong Kong United Kingdom New Zealand Adriana Kugler Jerome Powell Federal Reserve

Swiss Franc Plummets on CPI Data Which Fuels Expectations of Further SNB Easing

Swiss Franc faced broad selling pressure in European session, driven by CPI lower than CPI data. Inflation in Switzerland slowed to its lowest since September 2021 at 1.0%, and remained within the SNB's target range for the tenth consecutive month. This development sparked speculation among market participants about the possibility of further monetary easing by SNB, with some expecting a rate cut in each of June and September. SNB had already taken a lead among major central banks by cuttin...
New Zealand Hong Kong United Kingdom Tim Moore Economist At Hamburg Commercial Bank France Services

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