Page 29 - Gingrich News Today

4% and lets say half the candidates in that polling result actually have a lower number as their result. then the margin of error -- >> technically -- and i want to give you a three credit course here in survey research. its technically done at the 50% mark. down at the extreme, it isnt even the 3 point whatever percent youve been talking about. its not that precise. it doesnt stay constant. 0 to 100%. so you dont have to know that to become a participating member of this democracy, but pollster...

Have specifics or answers. >> yeah, the biggest story really isnt donald trump here its who his supporters are and the message he is starting to have. a lot of it is a very populist message where everybody is -- youre upset at illegal immigration, youre upset at this or that. but taking a step back to the donald trump and his support, its worth revisiting what happened four years ago. our own poll the people who were leading in april of 2011 it was mitt romney mike huckabee be and oh by the way,...

President, george bush at 37%. they are showing the three way race, comparing it to 1992, and telling us its almost the same thing. >> this far out in a primary race, these polls are not predetective of anything. remember, in 2012, rick perry was the front-runner. michele backman was the front-runner. her man cane was the front-runner. gingrich had a lead at some point. rick santorum. none of them won. mitt romney, the guy who was leading at the beginning of the polling, actually won. he is ahea...

I think the strong party favor is controlling or at least a plurality in the gop base now. these are people who dont want to press one for english and two for spanish. they do believe they have lost their country. and they are mad as held about it. and that is why he can attack john mccain the republican establishment and just go back to what he does today, frenetic or not. and he has those people. because he is venting for them. and he may not win primaries. but i think in some places he may co...

I wonlder what you think his potential is in south carolina. >> in trumps been drawing massive crowds in south carolina for some time gene. right? >> well he can draw a crowd in south carolina. hell have some competition there. i dont think he naturally sweeps through south carolina. then again you know last time i was of candidate running kind of as an outsider newt gingrich who did very well. >> do you think his lack of discussion of social issues and lack of a background in national security ...

Remember, he is not charged with what he did 30 years ago to this victim. hes charged with something he did more recently. >> when will we see him in court? >> we dont know for sure. normally, you would have to be brought before a federal magistrate and have the right within 48 hours. that hasnt happened. obviously, there is a lot of agreement between his lawyers and prosecutor. >> pete williams, thanks very much. want to turn to tom davis, former congressman from virginia. republican. in some...

Positions on iran, foreign policies and national security he has to be prepared for that real type of judgment. but republicans primary voters like their candidates to take on the main stream media, gingrich benefitted from a very similar tactic in 1994. >> relationships between russia and the u.s. becoming tense one of the main themes focusinging on american diplomatic distrust of russia and the resurgence of that country on the world stage. so leslie, is this true? because look we have got vic...

>> the thing that should alarm the bush people, though, is the polls at this point when they show walker doing that well, it shows the appetite is there. it shows the appetite for somebody else is there. one thing it says to me as well is that you look at bachmann, she had a lot of flaws that were pretty obvious and exposed. when you look at walker, theres a potential there, i think -- this scares the bush people a little bit, to put it together in a way that bachmann could and herman cain could...

Them, well see that they have their own serious flaws. so what happens is that at this point all of us obsess over these polls. do you know that michele bachmann was running the iowa straw poll you know four years ago. >> right. >> these are -- >> the thing that should alarm the bush people though is the polls at this point when they show walker doing that well it shows the appetite is there. it shows the appetite for somebody else is there. one thing it says to me as well is that you look at ba...

And race in america." we move on from the letter. >> al hunt a lot of talk about that letter. at the end of the day does it have a significant impact in the negotiations or is it much ado about nothing? >> i suspect it doesnt but the fear that i think some have is that the other side the iranians have their crazies, too, and that this will emboldened their crazies. i dont know if thats the case though. i dont think its affects the american negotiations at all. i think the general sense is im not...