A little hard. It looked to me like it was twitter. Like watching twitter for 90 minutes. I did not stick to my original plan. Baseball and bed the two bs i stayed up. I want my time back. I didnt stay up for that long you can play this game with me i felt dissed. How much words can you come up with disappointing, disturbing, disspiriting, distracting, disheartening. Disgusting. You can probably go there disspiriting i looked it up thats exactly what i wanted to say. After all those disses, i wound up with disinteresting thats when i was gone right . It was a let down ly say that. Some people like to watch the fighting it is hard to turn around from it if you were somebody who was tuning in. In my core pin of both candidates, nothing really changed. Mike Wallace Chris wallace had a tough job. I guess he did okay. Im not going to nominate him why do you bother having rules for a debate if nobody is going to bother to follow them kill the rules or give the moderator a kill switch. Both s
Reaffirmation on the American Labor economy in this hour, claims, and all of the various numbers that come out with it. Forget about the markets. Forget about the chancellor of the exchequer actually dealing with the United Kingdom labor market. It is a question of millions out of jobs. Jonathan permanent job losses as well, and permanent shifts in the economy. Thats got to be my big take away, government confronting the idea that perhaps we are seeing permanent shifts in the economy, and they need to allow that creative destruction, the powerful transformation of capitalism to take hold and maybe step back a little bit more. Ive got to say, some people will push back aggressively against that and say this is a pandemic, it will pass, and perhaps we will get some return to normality. That will be a debate for the several weeks, months, and hopefully not the next several years. Tom david kostintom will join us from Goldman Sachs with an important discussion on the equity markets. Future
Ed, welcome back. Thank you very much youve been bullish for a while and now youre acting on it why was now the time i had concerns that the market would have some concerns about the pandemic, that we did obviously see somes increase in the outbreaks down in the sunbelt, but the market the tenyear has been below 1 you know, there is no alternative, probably never been more relevant than it has been since the fed adopted what i call qeforever on march 23rd. You have what you call a meltup in the market, but you say as you have more of this melt up, you increase the risk of a meltdown. How does that factor into your broader view well, you know, its one thing to be bullish, but at the same time you have to be aware of where the down side risks are. To the extent that the market has a melt up, it puts more air between stock prices and earnings in other words, the valuation multiple has been on fire. We had a p. E. Led meltup from 4. 9 on a forward p. E. Basis on march 23rd now were over 22
Somebody to sell if you go back to our march survey, what we saw was that the level of bullishness on the stock market was one of the highest readings we had in the history of our survey. That told us things were scary in terms of fundamentalings and news flow. They sort of knew inherently this was that point in time was the right time to buy the market they stepped in to help contribute to the rally. Now what we see its not that everybody is bearish the bearishness is starting to pick up where where we were last quarter and the bulls have fallen down sharply. Now, what is extremely in our survey is the percent who say valuations are expensive and that hit a new survey high whats that telling me as the tape weakens here, the news flow deteriorat deteriorates im talking to Institutional Investors that are not inclined to support this market the way they were in march i take it as a bearish read. Less about the level and shift in sentiment were starting to see and the reasons for the shi
Geopolitical risks add to headwinds for investors. Oul says north korea must bear all consequences for its actions. Indian defense stocks gain on tension with china. The turnaround when i was sitting in this chair yesterday that we saw in u. S. Futures, the biggest since 2016, we saw a lot of green on the screen fueled by stimulus from the fed on corporate bonds, but also in terms of fiscal stimulus. Today is a different picture. The second wave has become front and center a little bit more again. Investors try to see where to go next. In terms of the equity rally, a mixed picture in asia. The Msci Asia Pacific index is flat. U. S. Futures edging into the red along with european futures. The 10 year yield missing a couple of basis points. Fx, you are not seeing a lot of moves either way for the dollar. G10, you are seeing underperformance of Commodity Currencies, also seeing a pullback in oil, retreating with the outbreak in china perhaps threatening the one bright demand spot there wa