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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

The and pennsylvania. No sign of qe for the boe. Officials boost stimulus to prevent a doubledip recession. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to bloomberg surveillance, but welcome to our Election Special. Votes are being counted. I am Francine Lacqua in london. Tom keene is a new york. Tom, we look at the senate, the legal challenges. I know you and i have not slept much in the last 24 hours as we were roaring through the votes, trying to figure out exactly how throughident poring the votes, tryi...
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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Everyone here is really waiting with baited breath on who the president of the United States is. We understand through the counting that joe biden could win it. It is razor thin, but we dont know for certain. The markets dont expect some kind of surprise, which is why they are stable and up. The other story is the bank of england, talking possibly about negative rates. Although, not for now. Guy johnson in the conversation with the governor talking about the Downside Risk. I think we have learne...
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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Interview for global wall street. I believe david folkertslandau is scheduled with us, from deutsche bank. The sun has not risen on the east coast yet. When it does, we will start to see the trickling in of the final 5 of voting in some states, and in some there is still a very large gap involving tens of thousands and hundreds of thousands of votes. What am i focused on . I guess i have to be focused on nevada. I may be wrong on that, but that is the one state on focused on right now, francine....
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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

Dow 30,000. 2009,were you march 10 of while you were up 16 per year on the dow . Spx i believe better as well. There have been reasons along the way to go to cash, and yet here we are with solid doubledigit returns across 13 years. Jonathan and some houses got it right. One of those houses, Morgan Stanley. It was really uncomfortable to make the call coming out of march 2 remain committed to the recovery in the u. S. Economy. It took some real confidence, and one thing that has frustrated me ove...
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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets European Close July 11, 2024

Europe, as you can see, down by 0. 2 . Not getting back ground within the markets. The oil sector has done very well of late. The Banking Sector has done very well of late. Just beginning to fade down today. The s p is down by 0. 3 percent, but it is a similar story. This value cyclical story, the rotation that has pushed money into those spaces, just fading a little bit. We are going into the ,hanksgiving Holiday Weekend basically four days youve got to hold these positions for, and i think a l...
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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Americas July 11, 2024

What we are get interesting the university of Michigan Sentiment survey. The headline number, way, way weaker than anticipated. That number coming in at 77. Thats down from 81. 8 last time around. When things are good well north of 100. The expectation was for 82. Current conditions, 85. 8. Thats actually ahead of expectations. But its the expectation number, the forwardlooking number here, that is really sharply lower. Coming through at 71. 3, alix, versus 79. 1 in terms of where the market, th...
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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Market as well. Tom ive got to be careful here, but ive never seen it before. The dynamics of particularly dow futures have been extraordinary. Nasdaq 100 shows a little bit of persistency, with green on the screen. Jonathan 18 basis point trading range on the treasury yield. It is the election map everyone feared they might wake up to, confronted with the idea that you might have to wait maybe a few more days. Lisa theres several maps that are the worst Case Scenario for markets. We have the po...
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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Americas July 12, 2024

Consumer confidence relatively judge the michigan consumers intimate data is a good guide. Lets break it down a different way. Current conditions, 85. 9. That is above expectations at 84. 9. This is what i was really looking for, expectations also ,oming in ahead of expectations but they are still below current conditions, 79. 2. They are not going down, which ethic is the really important thing, as we see the virus picking up. Alix and we didnt get stimulus, counterintuitive to what many though...
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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Daybreak Australia July 12, 2024

Rose. Microsoft saw a better First Quarter revenue, helped by demand for Cloud Services as more people work remotely. Sales through september topping 37 billion. Melbourne, the merge from a melbourne emerges from a strict lockdown. Ours and restaurants are reopening, even home visits are allowed. Shery lets get you started with a check of the markets. U. S. Futures opening lower, down. 4 . This after stocks fell to a three week low in the regular session. We had cyclical stocks taking the brunt ...
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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Americas July 12, 2024

Struggle with a contested election, and i dont think we with a delayed or contested election come i dont the queen of the interest to that. Guy unresolved contested election, and i dont think we know the answers to that. Guy unresolved issues. Services come in, and it is a miss. Just reinforcing the idea that maybe as the virus numbers continue to pick up in the United States, the Services Sector will feel that, and just reinforces the idea that may be of this trajectory continues lower, we will...
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