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Over two decades, double-digit overperformances have become far less common.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE Senate races are increasingly converging with presidential partisanship, to the point where the huge overperformances that were so common a decade or two ago have become much less common. Since 2000, the number of senators who have run more than 10 points ahead of their party’s presidential nominee has decreased sharply. This trend helps explain why we currently rate Democratic-held West Virginia as Leans Republican and started off Montana and Ohio as Toss-ups.
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Charles Bookerâs 2022 Senate campaign in Kentucky will provide the next test. When Booker ran last time, the DSCC clumsily intervened, leading to a disastrous loss.
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Democratic state Sen. Charles Booker on the floor of the Kentucky House of Representatives, February 19, 2020, in Frankfort, Kentucky
Charles Booker is throwing his hat in the ring once again. Booker announced an official Senate exploration committee Monday, setting up a matchup between the former Kentucky state representative and two-term senator Rand Paul. Whatâs not clear is how the Democratic establishment will respond, and if they will behave differentlyâand more democraticallyâthan the last time Booker tried running.
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Democrats blocked a Republican effort Wednesday to rein in Gov. Janet Mills’ emergency powers roughly one year after lawmakers granted her sweeping authority to respond to the developing COVID-19 pandemic.
In a largely party-line vote, Democrats in the House opposed a Republican-drafted resolution to terminate Maine’s civil state of emergency on grounds that Mills had extended it repeatedly “without providing the Legislature with a sufficient scientific rationale or justification.”
The resolution failed on a 67-81 vote, with all Democrats opposed, all but one Republican in support and independent or unenrolled members split on the issue.
Initiated on March 15, 2020, just three days after the first COVID-19 case was detected in Maine, the civil state of emergency allowed Mills to quickly mobilize or shift state resources and tap into billions of dollars in federal relief funds. Mills has also used the emergency powers to restrict businesses, place limits on g
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Even most Republican strategists counted Collins among the certain losers this year, in the face of a hugely well-funded challenge from state House Speaker Sara Gideon (D). But her vote against Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett
Collins never scored above 44 percent in a public opinion poll. On Nov. 3, she won 51 percent of the vote. And, depending on the results of next month’s elections in Georgia, she may have saved the Senate for the GOP.
State-level Republicans
State legislators will draw new political district boundaries next year in the decennial redistricting process. They will come under more scrutiny this time around than ever before, after activists and attorneys raised alarm about gerrymandered lines that came out of last decade’s process.
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