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March 10, 2024
When a sector gets discovered we see a sudden rush of money getting into that sector. The reason is that the earnings of the companies in that sector are likely to grow faster and it makes sense to pay more for a stock whose earnings grow at a faster rate. Now, how much more should be paid is the question. One of the ways is to determine by dividing a company’s PE multiple by its growth ratio. Look carefully at the PEG ratio which in the long-term indicates many things in a better manner t...
March 10, 2024
While there are clear signs of large cap stocks making a comeback on the street, it is reflected both in movement of Nifty sensex. The problem is that as a word the “large cap” is so open ended and we keep seeing stocks moving in and out of that category which are the ones which one should focus on. If one looks at the last six months of the stock market moves, a new industrial house appears to be born and has caught the fancy of the street. Yes, we are talking about PSU as a set of ...
March 10, 2024
Majority of businesses have a cycle of ups and downs. The question is whether the downs are cyclical in nature or they have come up due to one off event. If they are cyclical in nature then is the cycle likely to turn around soon or not ? In the case of a one off event then whether that events impact is going to be over or will have a deep impact or not ? In the case of the agrochemical sector there is a mix of both, it has an element of cyclicality because of the fact that it takes care of sect...
March 9, 2024
It is after a long period of time, that mid-cap stocks have seen some correction. All those investors who have high exposure to mid-caps in their portfolio have probably gone through two different emotions. Should I sell? Should I buy more? For all those who have gone through these emotions. Let the market be volatile, dont make volatile decisions. Corrections are part of any market and especially when valuations are high, the frequency and magnitude of correction will be higher. For all those w...
March 9, 2024
While the nifty and sensex have been touching new highs, if one looks at the market breadth, it is showing signs of profit booking. The way things are panning out, it is clear that divergence between what is happening to nifty and the broader market level might continue further. Nifty which has underperformed mid and small cap indices is witnessing a catch up. In such times, if one is taking fresh exposure to equity, ensure that there is some level of quality as far as the business and fundamen...
March 9, 2024
It started with RBI asking for higher provision for unsecured credit by NBFC and banks, then the housing finance sector came under the lens and tighter provision for raising debt. Then it was the turn of micro finance companies. But then came action in two companies, in both cases companies were stopped from doing a part of their business. This where the street got jittery and there was a sharp decline in all the NBFC stocks. The reason, the two orders from RBI brought back the memories of 2018,...
March 1, 2024
In the correction that markets saw in the last four trading sessions, the financial sector stocks, right from banks to other players also declined. But if one looks at the magnitude and the internal breadth of the sector it was much better as compared to a month back when the market correction was started by HDFC bank. There was a bit of profit booking in the PSU bank space, but once again after a small corrective move, things were back with a strong intraday recovery. The way things are panning...
February 29, 2024
Bank of India Small Cap Fund, the topper in the list, offered 31.01% in a five year horizon. The scheme is benchmarked against Nifty Smallcap 250 - TRI, which offered approximately 10%.
February 29, 2024
After a strong phase of outperformance , mid cap stocks are witnessing a a wave of profit booking move. Unlike the past few weeks, where a rotational profit booking was taking place, this time the correction is taking place across the board. Now how long it will continue will depend on how the SEBI advisory pans out and also how nifty moves. During this phase, analysts are bullish on select stocks from different sectors, some of which are either the leaders of their sector or part of the top thr...
February 29, 2024
When it comes to volatility, there are 3 things that one needs to take into account. Magnitude of volatility, frequency of volatile movement, and third which are the sectors leading it and overall market breadth during a volatile phase. If one looks at these three things then it is very clear that while some might be feeling volatility has come in just the last two trading sessions, the fact is that markets have been volatile since the start of 2024. There is a high probability that we might se...