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Nachrichten Anstieg um 165 Prozent Große Nachfrage nach Grippe-Impfungen im Herbst 2020 Nachrichten der Ortenau
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Spitzenwert: Große Nachfrage nach Grippe-Impfungen im Herbst 2020 - Gesundheit
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Anstieg um 165 Prozent: Große Nachfrage nach Grippe-Impfungen im Herbst 2020 - Wissenschaft
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While several States of India roil under the latest outbreak of Avian Influenza, the strategy of mass culling of poultry birds, to contain the spread, is a knee-jerk reaction adopted by health authorities. This is not the first bird flu outbreak in India. Repeated outbreaks have been occurring since 2006 – all met with the same response: killing millions of birds to ‘contain’ the disease.
The government has refused to understand why India has become the home of Avian Influenza. Since there is no understanding, they refuse to change the policies that are causing this epidemic again and again. This is a disaster of our own making. Poultry farm workers, and billions of poultry birds, are disproportionately affected and the first victims of this disaster. Collateral damage includes health workers who act as first responders. And God knows how many people who eat the dead chickens, in the belief that they cannot get the disease.
32). However, the true baseline level of deaths during winter in the presence of influenza epidemics remains difficult to estimate. Removing seasons (
28) or extremes to estimate the baseline warrants additional future sensitivity analyses. Our model detects no excess deaths in 2013–14, corresponding to a previous estimate of no influenza-associated intensive care admissions in that season (
33). By accumulating the difference between the observed number of deaths and the upper (or lower) limit of the predicted baseline number of deaths, we only approximated the 95% prediction intervals. The intervals obtained in this way are too wide because nonlinearities in the calculation are neglected. Instead, in the future, by applying Monte Carlo simulation, we could obtain a better approximation of the 95% prediction intervals.