presence, i think especially now folks are kind of, you know, trump just last week talking about himself as a nationalist and most folks understand what white nationalism is. georgia has a history of white nationalist violence, i think that when you talk about a state that has a growing number of voters of color where voters of color, especially black voters vote in huge blocks when you turn up that intensity factor, the enthusiasm factor, which is what president obama s presence will do tomorrow, which is what oprah winfrey s presence will do today, which is what michael b. jordan s presence has done, i think that you re talking about really turning a corner in georgia political history. christina, malina, stays with me for a second. i want to check in on orange county, the demographics there are changing rapidly in
with a traditional president it would be much higher. he should be at 55%. i could argue, even in our polarized times somewhere between 50 and 55 if he doesn t have russia and sort of the personal character stuff. on the approval rating office partisan decide. but on the russia investigation it s interesting there are so many americans who withholding judgment. i think that s the way thingsed used to be. do you know what it also tells you they are not paying toengs to the day to day. they have essentially said we are there is a lot going on there and we are going to wait and see. which does mean it is a funny. then you have to operate as if this is go to be a traditional midterm until it s not. a lot of that is up to bob mueller and what he is deciding. the other key piece before bob mueller enter convenience is the intensity factor. gentlemen, donald trump s job approval rating has gone up. when you look at the strong approve versus the strong disagrees that s a sizable ga
so you re beginning to see the intensity factor. i have no idea what they for. they are betting on the republicans bouncing their ball off the foot and they will win the game that way. i believe it will be a democrat year but it could be a big year if they stood for something. they are all screwed up too. the left wing is really dominating them like the right wing is dominating a republican party. when you say suburban women voters are trending the other way because they don t like what they sai see what do you mean? first language. they don t like harsh language. they don t like division. here is what s going on in our country. you have the hard left and hard right. god bless them, maybe with can come back and rescue them later. these are people who are objective, rational and who seek
and andrea, i ll just point to looking at how president trump fared in alabama, his approval rating was split 47% approve, 47% disapprove, but when you break those numbers in intensity factor, you see 43% disapproved against those who strongly approved. in alabama that is a rough number for republicans going into the midterms regardless of whether they pass this tax legislation or not. vaughn is down in alabama. vaughn, i was struck by the fact that doug jones went with his victory announcement last night was talking about economic issues. talking about the sort of kitchen table issues that many people feel the democrats failed to communicate in the 2016 campaign. andrea, he tried to take the approach in this campaign over the last month, despite attempts to essentially prod him on different issues outside of those whatever he calls them kitchen table issues. health care, education, the
but i do think the democrats are treading on thin ice in another key respect. they can overplay this. and you re already starting to hear them hammer this point a lot. harry reid goes to the floor of the senate almost every single day and brings up the koch brothers. and yes, it raises money for them. democrats will tell you, they get back a lot more money than if they don t mention the kochs at all, but in the same way republicans hammer issues like benghazi and the irs, people start to tune that out. it becomes kind of a base-only issue. and i think it has limited effectiveness after a while. except that this is going to be a base election. and i m telling you, look at the intensity factor. your last word. the intensity factor of hatred of obama care and hatred of obama has got to be matched somehow with intensity on the left and the center left, doesn t it? don t they have to find the bad guy here? yeah. they have to have intensity on the left.