Just above estimates we begin with wall streets record run futures pointed to a muted open. The dow coming off a fivesession win streak. Plus broken Business Model . Elizabeth warren promising to follow the money when she questions former equifax ceo rick smith in a hearing this morn and pepsi shares are sinking. The beverage and snack giant beats earning but has a lower outlook. The dow, the s p and the russell coming off record highs. The Financial Sector posted its highest in ten years with watches on to see how resilient the market can be. I think what were seeing is a recognition that the economy is better so instead of paying low multiples for, what . Nothing, sorry, go ahead. My pepsi notes. Instead of paying low multiples for companies lets start with the banks. We are going to give the banks a multiple that looks like a stock. Do you know how long its been since i used to speak with brian moynihan, he does a great job and i would say okay lets say you can make two bucks, what
Really should be getting a lot of focus i know were talking a lot about small caps and all the talk about the f. A. N. G. S building, visa, apple, mcdonalds all great years and now the transports have joined along as well. The transports were just waiting there, waiting to move higher they were down 25 , 30 boss so as the market looked like it was fine, everything was great they were getting pummeled so over the last week they started moving up. Delta yesterday came out and said, you know what. The hurricane is not that big of an issue they still gave better guidance so i think, you know, as pete has been saying and trying to get me to put more money into the market. You should. Ive been doing it on dips it i like to buy on dips rather than highs but nothing wrong with that, pete. Not when the highs go higher. When you get a new record every day. The highs keep going higher so then what do you do in the highs keep going higher. You always look for opportunity. Thats what we talk about
Ahead of most of the earnings. Generally seen declines across the board in a pretty broadbased decline as well. The dow has been a performer recently, but its facing declines and other major averages today. As a result, if you take a look at the bloomberg, were looking for the worst single day for the dow in about seven weeks. The realm of same for the s p and especially the monastic as well. At least at the lives of the session for today. Just a. 5 decline, its been a while since weve seen a drop like this. If you look at the worst percentage decline in the dow, only one of them has directly to do with earnings. And that is boeing. The company delivered a Record Number of planes and earningspershare beat estimates, however, one of the things that holding it back is the fact that its that is been developing for the u. S. Air force has been delayed already is delayed again and cost rose 329 million, and sales also fell in boeings commercial division in boeing as of about 65 year to date
Driving the u. S. Stock market as well as hopes for some kind of tax cut. Those hopes sparking up again as we have the house passing the budget which in turn leads to higher hopes for a tax plan getting through. All the major averages are up. The russell 2000 of small caps is outperforming again. It is coming back to outperforming, up 4 10 of 1 . This is a small domestic dust and index for small, domestic orient an index for small, domestic oriented companies. Here you have the s p 500 versus the russell since the election. The russell had a big outperform its initially and sort of went sideways for a while, had another leg up in september and has gone sideways and is taking up relative to the s p 500, the relative performance improving as we get this latest wave of tax hopes. There is a Deutsche Bank index of highly taxed companies and low taxed companies. Here is a ratio of the two and the red line goes back to the election. They bottomed out in august and september and now they are
Be a bit cautious or unnerved at this point. It seems the bias for rates is upward. The bond market has been in a 30 year bull trend. Yields keep going down and returns are good. Hate to argue with him, but i think he is maybe too pessimistic about where bonds are. We will be in a 2. 4 to 2. 7 range. We are in an environment where you will definitely see bond yields head back towards to 2. 6 or 2. 7 level. I am pessimistic about the probability we can get higher. It is just a question of pace and pass. How fast is that going to happen . We dont think it is going to happen externally fast. I dont think it is going to be are really distracted in that sense. Jonathan joining the around the table is Kathleen Gaffney, Joern Wasmund and Jack Flaherty. Great to have you with us around the table. Lets talk about the backup in treasury yields. The tweet from jeff gundlach, the moment of truth has arrived for the bull market. It is the 2. 4 line in the sand that bill gross has talked about, as w