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Win 306232 though they gave trump the 10 votes of New Hampshire and nevada instead of wisconsins. Still trafalgar said 306 trump won, 306. Then in the 2018 midterms in florida trafalgar was the only firm to show ron desantis show winning the governor race. As real clear politics put it, trafalgar predicted senate outcomes in missouri, north dakota, texas making it the most accurate pollster of the cycle among the firms that polled several races. Theyre not infallible. They didnt think that cinema would defeat mcsally in arizona and widely overestimated the margin of victory in georgia but the group is again predicting a trump victory. Even though most others predict a Biden Victory and many regard the methods as suspect. Currently cnn has biden already above the needed 270 and trump with 163. And the rest of the states too close to call. Trafalgar is saying 275 for trump, 216 for biden, 47 tossup. Are they on to something . Or smoking something . Heres what phillip bump of the Washingt

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