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Week Ahead – ECB Set to Pause Tightening Cycle, a Big Week for Earnings

The ECB is expected to leave interest rates unchanged next week, as per the communication following its last meeting in September. The question for many traders is whether the central bank is in fact done or if it can be tempted into another increase. Recent moves in bond yields suggest investors are increasingly coming around to the idea of higher for longer. It will be interesting to see if the ECB addresses this or welcomes the recent moves. Flash PMIs will also be of interest considering the...
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Week Ahead – US and Eurozone Inflation, Fed Speak, Bank of Japan Minutes

It will be a busy week filled with a wide range of economic releases, with the focus falling on the consumer and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.  August personal income is expected to rise given the strong labor market while spending cooled given the end of summer vacations.  The bond market will pay extremely close attention to the next round of inflation readings.  Headline PCE will likely heat up given the surge in energy prices, while the core reading should maintain the 0.2% month...
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Week Ahead – Fed, BoE, BoJ, SNB, SARB, CBRT and More to Look Forward To

The main event of the week will be the September FOMC meeting. Powell and Co. are expected to keep rates steady but may still signal one more rate increase is coming.  Too many upside surprises with service/jobs/consumer readings will keep the Fed upbeat on the economy, forcing them to revise up their GDP forecasts and to price in one more rate hike.
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