Buying longer on that curve . If so, that will keep rates lower. The path we are leading down is not a good one. What the fed is trying to do is what every central bank is trying to do, which is engineer growth. Tyler george bory is with us now. Talk to me about what you have been noticing, your take on the big reflationary trade yesterday but then a little bit of a comedown in yields again today. George thank you for having me on, always great to be on the show. Powelll question is, is seismic shift, or more of the same . The reality is there are some significant factors here. The biggest is the acknowledgment that there has been a Material Change in the economy. Unemployment can go lower than policy makers expect without causing inflation. They have issue is, also kind of acknowledged there is a limitation of Monetary Policy. Those two factors we view as material. Shift,terms of a policy what they are likely to do going forward, it feels like it is very much same game. The way we are
Improve the quality of both monetary and fiscal policies and in particular the public understanding of them. Under the under the very able leadership of david wessel, weve worked to promote analytical rigor but also to make complex questions relevant. Today one of the most vexing questions for people who participant in markets, but thats a different part of the world, is that inflation has refused to rise, much less persist, at the 2 targets. Key question is, why . While history will be the judge once the data has been interrogated, we dont have time for that, because todays policymakers and investors need to act and to do so require at least a rudimentary answer to this puzzle. Today we have gathered some of the leading experts in the world. Inflation didnt fall as much during the Great Recession as the models anticipated and hasnt risen as much lately. Is it dead or just dormant or has the death been much exaggerated. In my experience, wiped capitulation is the first sign of the bott
Slowing. Is said to be china is trying to funnel more credit to private companies. We will assess the implications in beijing. A quick check of our markets close in the u. S. It was a bit of a mixed picture. We saw the dow gained 50 points. The s p 500 erased this mornings gains. Fed officials with a little bit of caution about future rate cuts. To mention we have some soft manufacturing pmi numbers. That did not help sentiment. Cared materials and Health Leading the declines after fluctuated between gains and losses. That fell 0. 4 . U. S. Futures at the moment not doing much. The focus right now is on jackson hole. Lets see how we are shaping up. Steady as we go. Asian futures not doing much when it comes to the potential for how cash trade may start. We are waiting for cues from jackson hole as well as the g7 meeting this weekend. We also have today a busy day of earnings from china as well as from hong kong. We are going to get a cbi data from singapore. Thise checking on the end m
We see little bit of a lack of direction when it comes to stop. The stoxx 600 is pretty much flat, moving sideways. There has been quite a lot of movement in the u. S. 10 year yields. This week we have been looking for the 3 mark. We have not gotten there yet. Investors are trying to figure out exactly the Monetary Policy. And you have a little bit of movement in the euro sck. In the meantime, you can see the andmberg dollar index coming up, we talk brexit and trade. Later, david bloom from hsbc gives us his forecast. E talk gun0 p. M. , w control. Now, lets get straight to the bloomberg first word news with nejra cehic. Nejra theresa may held an eight hour brexit session in an attempt to win anonymous backing for her divorce plan. She went to give european rules in many areas, while breaking away partially or fully with others. The European Commission preempted the meeting by saying what it has heard of her plan will not work. Former Trump Campaign chairman Paul Manafort and onetime a
Come next year, we will probably have the ecb with a stable balance sheet, and we will talk about Interest Rate movement after that. Anna welcome to bloomberg daybreak europe, our flagship morning show from london. Manus another day, another set of Earnings Results coming for. Lets go to commerzbank, germanys secondlargest bank. Operating profits, 314 Million Euros. That is confirmation that the turnaround plan is indeed having a good start. They confirmed their fullyear outlook. Loanloss provisions just below where we would expect. 196. 5 million. When it comes to net income, this is the storm. 217 Million Euros. The market had penciled in 74 Million Euros. The bane of European Bank ceos lives, capital 12. 5 . The target is 12 million customers by 2022, shareholders gave them a d rating, but a good set of numbers. Just think back to september. Is validation of strategy 4. 0. Anna we will be speaking to the cfo later this morning. He will join the team on surveillance. Matt miller is o