Page 19 - Loop Current News Today

Shoreline. look at this graphic. noaa, national oceanic and atmospheric administration, came up with a forecast of likelihood based on historic current and weather patterns. you take the southern tip of texas to the louisiana state line, you have a zero to 40% chance of oil impacting the beaches. mouth of the mississippi to the florida panhandle, 81 to 100% chance and many have already seen it. south on the west side of florida, the peninsula, less than 20% chance it impacts the naples, fort mye...

Before this is over, impact the beaches of the keys and miami and ft. lauderdale. you have in the florida keys, tarballs showed up may 18th. they were not associated whatsoever with the deepwater horizon disaster going on out there. so no oil has yet to show up in the keys along miami and fort lauderdale but cord to noaa, its possible here on a 61 to 80% chance. look at the current state of the loop currents as well as the frank eddy, which detached itself. all this remains south of the oil mass...

Zero to 40% chance of oil eventually impacting it. then you go, of course, from the mouth of the mississippi east to the florida panhandle. 81 to 100% chance likelihood of oil impacts that. to the western side of florida around marco island, fort meyer, naples, well, that looks promising. only less than 20% chance the oil will hit the beaches, but then you have a loop current to deal with. thats why the noaa forecast shows from key west up the keys to miami and up the east coast of florida, fort...

Is going to last, but, look at the map. starting on the left of your screen, the southern tip of texas to the louisiana state line, based on historical current, and weather patterns, that is being given a 0 to 40% chance some sort of oil, tar ball, tar mat, something will end up on the sandy beaches and the mouth of the mississippi river to the florida panhandle, 81 to 100% chance and a lot of the beaches already had their 100% chance and south, florida, naples, fort myers area, it look good bas...

>> brian: phil, its absolutely true that in many parts of the state of florida right now, the oil problem has been somewhat manageable. it eventually has to go somewhere, doesnt it? >> yep, it does get in the loop current. this is giving it a 68-80% chance. that will have problematic situation for the east coast. real quickly, all of these houses on the stilts, these are called camps down here, theyre all beach houses, people that drive down here for the weekend and the big holiday weekend. typi...

Said and done putting impacting those beaches. in texas, you have 40% chance, but eventually those beaches, over to the panhandle, there is an 81-100% chance. once you go southwest coast of florida, its down to less than 20%. however, once you get to the florida keys, miami, the loop current suggests there is possibly going to be as much 80% chance that those beaches will eventually see some sort of oil. well see what happens, but certainly not anything in florida wants to hear. >> and you are s...

Be a worse-case scenario. >> a large spill of oil and then a hurricane moving somewhere in the vicinity. now, the question is, where does a potential hurricane go in relation to the spill? if the hurricane moves to the right of the spill, then you could actually see the winds of the hurricane blow the spill to the south, that means it could interact with the loop current and push the spill under the floor, through the straights and up the east coast and potentially affecting the carolinas. proba...

Exploration plans and it reads like a greenlg tragedy which is a warning about the dangers human huberrous. they make these claims about how safe it is, about how even if there is a spill, it wont make to shore because its too far, its 48 miles. and nowhere in this report do they mention the loop current. it they have so little faith in the power of nature that they think they can control it. >> and you see the push and pull when you talk to the people because so many of them depend on oil and t...

The gulf and tar balls from the bp oil spill have washed up on the beach in panama city, florida. thats the furthest east they have been spotted so far. crews are cleaning up tar balls ranging from the size of nickels to half dollars. searing heat and humidity for much of the south, especially true along the gulf coast where folks are really having a tough time there. if its not the heat and humidity its the oil. bonnie schneider has more on that terrible combination. >> absolutely. looking at t...

Jeopardy if this reaches the coral reef. >> oh, its not a matter of just. its going to reach it. let me just paint this picture. youve got whats called this summer highway, the ocean highway. the loop current. the loop current will pick this dispersant up and drive it to the straits of florida. the beginning of the coral. to give you some idea, ed, thats 80 times the volume of all water rivers on earth thats going to go through -- that goes through the straits of florida, and it carries it all t...