Steve engle at Standard Chartered with a blistering note about the fed minutes being reinterpreted. Weve got some breaking news. I dont know if you see it there i home in london, but this is critical. Alone,leaves the rate and we get turkish weakness of that headline. Mr. Erdogan simply doesnt want to raise rates, does he . Anna absolutely. They are leaving their oneweek repo rate. The big picture here is that many economists saw this coming, but also thought the Turkish Central Bank should hike rates because the Interest Rate in turkey is well below inflation, and that kind of makes turkey stand out on a number of measures. They are also spending fx reserves to try and prop up that lira. We were talking about a turkish crisis back in 2018. The lira is weaker now than it was then. We will talk more about emerging markets later in the program. Lira has been stronger the last one he for hours. It weakens demonstrably off of this leaving of rates. Right now, i can do the data check right
A simulcast, bloomberg radio, sirius xm jenna 119. Good morning, semper this go. Good morning, san francisco. On television, worldwide and in london with anna edwards, we say good morning as well. Of marketd set discussions today. Weve almost pushed aside that in 30 minutes in america, it will be the Economic Data point of the week to see if we see continued improvement in the labor economy from the depths of march. Anna anna absolutely. Such a flexible economy, and not the same way as many of the economies here in europe. We seem big moves in these claims numbers, and as we start to see unemployment come down, where will it level off . Thats got to be one of the key questions as we had into the fall. Tom mark zandi joining bloomberg surveillance, the great moodys economist, and he said the Unemployment Rate in america is not 10 . It is somewhere around 14 . Data 12,ly, the yields come in. A virusou to give us update in europe. Mi correct that if you go to paris, you have to quarantine
Florida. It is about the pandemic. The Market Reaction to that, as Jonathan Ferro mentioned earlier , we have seen remarkable stability in the pricing of the Global Financial system in the last three or four days. Mathematically brilliant, in the last 48 hours we have seen yields in. There is no question all of our conversations, including Mohamed Elerian and jim paulsen have to be about what the bond yield signal. Jonathan it is not a huge move, but it is a break. It has been so sticky for the last several weeks, and we break lower by several basis points. Yield, which real have moved aggressively lower. Treasuries on the one hand, on the other, dollaryen. Morning, 1. 06, they are not huge moves but we are starting to break down in a way that is maybe complementing the Risk Appetite elsewhere. Tom totally on the point of real yields yesterday. I do not think people understand there is the visible yield, and then there is the yield after you adjust for inflation. Business has trouble g
Friday here. We had the range bound markets all week, maybe with the exception of gold. All of that pushed aside by the ramifications of the pandemic. We dont need to go into it now, but i really wonder over the andend, as the economists equity strategists write how they adapt and adjust their q3 view out of the news we are seeing from the sunbelt. Jonathan it is going to be a tugofwar for the next few weeks and months. Beneath the surface, the fragility is really going to start to show in places like texas and florida. Lisa this is the tension. The traditional data we rely upon, getting some of it today at 8 30 a. M. With u. S. Personal income and spending, this data is outdated well before we even get it. There is a question of what do you look at. Do you look at restaurant rivers rations restaurant reservations . Do you look at mobility trends . These are things i am watching in the day ahead. The universityt of Michigan Consumer sentiment survey. At 2 00 p. M. , u. S. Airline execu
[no audio] tom good morning, everyone. Bloomberg surveillance. We welcome all of you worldwide, on Bloomberg Radio and Bloomberg Television. Some technical difficulties there, which usually start with tom keene because i am the one most remote today. I am still at my home here near the mount sinai complex. It has been a most extraordinary morning. Let me give you a sense of the new slow right now before we get to our good conversation this morning. Is certainly decidedly new and more grim news on the pandemic. This has been the seachange news this morning. We have seen it over the last couple of days as well. And in the markets, as Jonathan Ferro has mentioned, a real deterioration over the last number of hours. All of this the reality. I think i could simplistically just say because we have wiped away any sense of a vshaped recovery, that ended somewhere in the vicinity of 2 40 p. M. Yesterday, didnt it . I think there was Jonathan Jonathan i think there was a little bit of exuberance