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January 11, 2022
Inflation expectations affect the decisions of households, firms, and policymakers. Expectations of negative inflation can be particularly harmful and lead to deflationary spirals when nominal interest rates are near zero. This column uses survey evidence to show that households and firms almost never expect deflation, even when it is a clear possibility. This apparent zero
July 15, 2021
Jumping international de Dinard (de ce jeudi à dimanche) « J’y ai toujours regardé tous les cavaliers avec beaucoup d’attention. Je me rappelle en particulier de Patrice Delaveau (trois fois vice-champion du monde dont une fois en individuel) qui l’a fait il y a quelques années mais je crois que tous les grands cavaliers y sont passés. C’est vraiment une chance… » Autant vous dire que cette cha...
April 28, 2021
Yesterday brought news that would have had staff at the US Federal Reserve running to the office of Chair Jerome Powell in the hope of being the first to tell him about it. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 12.0% annual gain in February, up from 11.2% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 11.7%, up from 10.9% in the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted an 11.9% year-ove...
April 14, 2021
The Federal Reserves New Framework And Outcome-Based Forward Guidance, Vice Chair Richard H. Clarida, At "SOMC: The Federal Reserveâs New Policy Framework" A Forum Sponsored By The Manhattan Institutes Shadow Open Market Committee, New York, New York (Via Webcast) The Federal Reserves New Framework And Outcome-Based Forward Guidance, Vice Chair Richard H. Clarida, At "SOMC: The Federal Reserveâs New Policy Framework" A Forum Sponsored By The Manhattan Institutes Shadow Open Market Com...