Mark Pack News Today

Two historians argued in the 1990s that nine conditions defined the likelihood of Tory defeat. Almost all of them hold today, says Guardian columnist Martin Kettle

Conservatives cosplaying The Godfather with their "Five Families" schtick get nowhere.

The list of 211 seats released on the Labour Party website was seen as an invitation to Labour supporters in those seats to back a rival party rather than split the anti-Tory vote.

A LEADING Liberal Democrat councillor on West Berkshire Council has resigned, labelling his own party HQ corrupt or incompetent.

Streamlined party under Ed Davey will concentrate its finite resources on a number of key, mainly Tory, constituencies at the next election

The party needs a radical approach if it wants to be seen as any more than a tactical vote to get rid of the Tories, says Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee

The question is not whether Labour will win but how large their majority will be

Alistair Strathern believes Labour in byelection driving seat after ‘surreal’ resignation but Lib Dems have other ideas

How big is a 20 point opinion poll lead and what word should we use to describe it – insurmountable, commanding, or maybe flaky? Right now, 20 points is the average advantage Keir Starmer and Labour hold over Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives: 46 plays 26. In Tony Blair’s case, such a lead proved more than sufficient

Latest news on by-elections in the UK, including discussion of upcoming by-elections, latest polling, and by-election results as they come in.