that orange county area gets at it. but republicans in 2014. it was about 51% of the vote were suburban voters. republicans won by 12. this time 49% republican, 49% democratic. why? because i think what you re seeing trump s message doesn t what you have a lot in the suburbs, fiscally conservative, socially moderate. they vote for republicans. but trump, and you saw this in the exit poll, trump is someone who those voters, particularly female voters, with female suburban voters can t stomach. it doesn t matter wa his policies are. they just can t be for him. and you saw aum across the country. suburbs of philadelphia, jersey, which is essentially a suburb. sorry, jersey. st. paul in minneapolis. orange county, just the suburbs absolutely dumping out on republicans. huge problem not just in 2018 but in 2020 too. next? florida. lots of bad news for
seen at rallies throughout this year, but he s really stepping up the pace of them now. and clearly enjoying being able to be himself, being able to talk tough about things like body slamming a reporter, things like cracking down on illegal immigration at the border. i think to some degree republicans need for him to be doing this. they need for him to be activating the conservative base, they need to be activating the, you know, sort of trump coalition that came out to elect him if they have any hope of holding on to the senate and the house. what s not as clear is whether the backlash from some of this kind of rhetoric in some of these places might swamp whatever advantage the republicans are getting from it. we know that this kind of message doesn t really resonate with a lot of the voters that republicans who are trying to hold on to competitive districts need to turn out, you know, women, college-educated white voters, younger voters,
wages. what we saw happen yesterday is that not only is the unemployment rate at a 69 year low, wages went up in the third quarter, 3.3%, the first time it surpassed infla out from the midterms. the democrats argument is, well, wages aren t going up, and now they are. how do you run against that as a democrat. you run against all the other things the president is doing and saying every day, that seems to be working relatively well with them. if you imagine an alternate universe where you had a president that wasn t running cover from the saudis and attacking stormy daniels in these very sexist terms, maybe that s something republicans would have run on. if you look at the debates, you do hear republican candidates talking about being on the right economic track, don t change horses midstream right now. but that message doesn t breakthrough in a much bigger way. so the question for republicans is, even though voters aren t necessarily hearing that from them, are they feeling it enough
that message doesn t sell in most communities. can we put that picture back up of the swearing in? jason, what republicans are arguing is that getting that picture is worth it. right? for the republican base, that s it. that s all they care about is getting that. and that no matter what women had to go through, so what. it doesn t matter. and what s interesting, i found is in a lot of the responses from the members of congress and the senators who were bring themselves to say i believe dr. ford the lady got it wrong. she was confused as to who attacked her. it is worth it. they have a supreme court justice is who is going to be there for 8,000 people. people who are angry and mean, they never die. they stick around forever. the issue is going to be whether or not any of this has an electoral impact. the problem is like i said before, form congressman jolly mentioned it. the republicans are excited about their own people. look at pennsylvania, new mexico, michigan, minnesota,
repeal. we either say we re going to vote on the previous repeal or we re not voting for it. that needs to be a strong message, a loud message to leadership that we ran on a policy of repeal. we re not supporting partial repeal. if that message doesn t get through, we re going to have a big fight neil: are there enough that share that view or could this get stymied here? a lot of people have said we shouldn t have made this our signature issue. maybe tax cuts, corporate reform or something first but not this. there s 40 house freedom caucus members. they re on report for complete repeal. now they re on record supporting a version of my replacement bill. that s plenty to say to leadership, you re not going to roll over the conservatives. you have to talk to conservatives. conservatives are closely aligned with the grass roads. i travel the country. i was in primaries in 40 states.