Page 236 - Methodology News Today

Chance of winning, is that correct? >> we should be careful about probabilities this high because once the probability gets that high, its not so clear that it matters whether its 91%, 95% or 99% but yes, thats right. the probability is high enough that my side is reporting it as currently above 99%. >> just, is it possible to get a hundred percent probability on one of these things? >> it is never possible to get exactly a hundred percent probability. if my site says 101%, you should worry. >> ...

Day or as much as 40% of all votes cast. many endorse early voting as a means of boosting participation, but one of my guests believes it has a negative impact on the democratic process, james huffman, a visiting fellow from stanford universitys hoover institution. first, while we cant see the ballots that have been cast so far, they nevertheless give us clues as to who is winning and ludsing. for that, i turn to michael mcdonald, associate professor at the university of florida and fellow at th...

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So melania trumps husband gets caught on the access hollywood video bragging about sexual assault. he describes his methodology in detail and that video is played for the world ten days ago, and melania trumps husband is not in trouble with her. because in the trump household there is apparently no such thing as sexual assault. >> in terms of what he actually said on the tape, not saying he did it, but what he said, the behavior he described to you, is that sexual assault? >> no, thats not sexua...

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His nearest rival is 20 points behind him. ben carson at thats the bottom line result which itself is amazing. here is the more amazing result from this new poll. fox news hopefully spells it out in terms of talking about their methodology. this poll is being released tonight, wednesday night, but in terms of whether they collected this data from voters, the poll was conducted saturday through tuesday. now think about that -- those dates for a second. because remember that donald trump announced...

Proposal?" among likely republican primary voters, the answer is -- they favor this proposal. by a huge amount. nearly two-thirds of republican likely primary voters say they agree with donald trump that all muslims should be banned from the united states. 65% support among republican voters. now again the methodology on this polling is not ideal, it is an online poll only taken over the course of one day. as a general matter, no matter what you are polling on, it is always better to poll over a...

Cnns reporter. >> but let me ask flatout, whether you stand by the claim as a 14-year-old boy you attempted to stab another boy and attacked your mother with a hammer? >> those claims are absolutely true. i am 100 percent sure you are true and this is an attempt to smear and to deflect the argument. >> cnn is trying to find people involved in the incident or witnessed this. >> what makes you think you are going to find those specific people? tell me? how does your methodology work? this is a bun...