Page 769 - Midterm News Today

Horizontal axis. drew a line called aggression analysis across them to basically find what is statistically most accurate. what you find, about a 70% correlation between a presidents approval rating and the number of house seats won or lost in a midterm. at say 50%, that would lead you to expect something like a 30-seat loss in the midterms. however, we have a president, we know is at 41%. if you start at 41% and draw a line across, you would find it comes out around here in the, about 60 very v...

Erin, 82 of those seats are xurnt will i held by republicans. only 13 by democrats. republicans are already back on their heels on defense in the presidents first midterm election here. if youre already on defense and democrats are competitive, maybe even can pull away with a win here, guess what? it gets worse. >> all right. thats a powerful way to look at it because of course it does matter. which seats are actually in play. all right, john. i want to go now to larry sabato, founder and direct...

You take the last century there have actually only been two midterm elections. the first midterm election of a new president. franklin roosevelt in 1934 and george w. bush in 2002. where the presidents party, the white house party, actually gained a few seats in the house. and it was just a few in both cases. its extremely unlikely that there would be a red wave. even republican operatives tell you privately they would be thrilled if they ended up only losing 15 seats. democrats need 23. it woul...

County. it is a significant swath of voters impacted and democrats are targeting the voters making sure they heard what balderson had to say. theyre hoping in a very close race this could be the difference between who wins and loses tonight. jake? >> all right. ryan, thanks so much. lets talk about this. okay. so this is a district trump won by 11 points. democrat not represented it in literally more than three decades. this is john kasichs old seat. why is it competitive? >> theres no more diff...

Happening now, breaking news. on the stand, rick gates cross companed by paul manaforts lawyer have revealing new details about his former bosss finances and admit to go an extra marital affairs. can the lawyers get the jury to discount his damning testimony? is the trump administration doing enough to protect it from new interference? ill talk live to the former homeland security adviser for the obama administration. fighting the flames. crews battle whats become the biggest fire in califor...

Talked about a back and forth between team mueller and team trump on this whole question of an interview? i mean, weve been talking about it for months and months and months. but were really getting close to what the trump legal team hopes and thinks is decision time because were now three to four weeks away from labor day, which is the unofficial start of the midterm election season, and their hope and their expectation inside the trump team, at least, because the mueller team isnt talking, of ...

People arent overpromising right now and if that doesnt end up leading to enormous disappointment. we want and it depends because if you dont have a resolution to the mueller case before the midterm camp than speculation is what they have going. mark and charlie, thanks for coming in. tonight, attorney jeff sessions is failing to keep deferred action for childhood arrival for daca. a judge ruled the program which gives certain amount of amnesty to those who arrived here as children should be res...

splc, too. general, good to see you. when we return, we sent kristin fisher on the road. that will tell us a lot what to expect in the midterm as democrats try to flip a house seat in an historically public, republican district. and do millennials know whats in the constitution? we will head out and asked some students whats exactly in the first amendment. >> freedom of press, freedom of spree free speech for a free sample visit tena.us can start in the colon constipation and diarrhea and may...

>> good to see you. when we return, kristin fisher on the road where the special election could talk about what is expected in the midterm. it is in a historically republican district and do millennials know what is in the constitution? we head to columbia university about what is in the first amendment. >> right to bear arms? >> second amendment.

One or the other, mr. mueller, this is the reason it is problematic. he is almost accountable and can pursue this because any attempt to manage him by the duly elected leadership is now seen as interference. >> harris: last question as we head up to the midterms and people make their choices, how much do you think people are focused on this issue before or after the midterm? >> i do not think that they are. >> harris: there is nothing leading up in post? >> no, i think that if president trump wa...