Page 870 - Midterm News Today

Joel rubin. couple of mid westerners here. lets start with you, my friend, if we can, kirstin. whats your thought of these numbers? are they real? because some folks are saying, look at the polls in 2016, they werent very solid. >> theyre real right now, thats what polls always are, a snapshot in time. we understand that, and they can change quickly. you have a lot of competing factors in 2018. generally a presidents party loses 32 seats in the house and 2 senators. thats about the average with ...

Unpopular president, they have this bill, this gop tax plan that they passed that was also historically unpopular. they have to sell that next year while the midterm is going on. incredibly difficult messaging to move forward with. >> guys, in reading the presidents interview, what strike me when he was talking about the lottery system is that he doesnt understand the lottery system. he makes it sound like other countries put names in a hat and they pick them out and they say, here, you get to g...

One of the key focal points will be senate. you work for the national republican senatorial committee, should republicans at all be worried about a blood bath in next years election? >> you should always run scared. you know, heres the thing, candidates matters. thats the big thing. thats what mattered in 2016. that will matter in 2018. history is not on republicans side here. the first midterm of any presidents first term in office is really, really hard for a president. you have no idea what t...

Party always suffer in midterm. the 2018 election is still months away. what can republicans to erode the democrats edge and what can democrats to keep it? joining me now is katherine rampel and back with me is corinne. the atmosphere today, leading up to the 2018 midterm elections reminds me of the same atmosphere that the country had in the run-up to the 2006 election, when everybody was talking about how house could flip to democrat. not only did the house flip but the senate flipped. am i wr...

2018 is the year president trump is going to be unchained. i think he got an early start yesterday. >> yeah. and we saw that interview, the improvisation at the top. michael schmidt are you fine with me recording this. trump says yes. a sign of how quickly it came together. what axios is reporting this morning is that during 2017 there have been a lot of guardrails. gary cohn and others who are keeping the president in a more moderate place on immigration, on trade, on north korea. next year as ...

15-point swing. south carolina, 15-point swing. alabama, we know the story down there. democrats actually win there. there is that race in the suburbs of atlanta. thats the one exception. but again, youre seeing a pretty strong trend suggested there. historically when you see this kind of movement toward one party in the special elections, historically that suggested something is coming in the midterm. so there is a lot of signs there right now as 2017 ends. the democrats could be in for somethi...

They like chain migration. some would say that it is sort of cynical, self-serving electoral points, but in terms of how does this play out in 2018, a lot of it has to do with turnout. and in 2018, he tends to be older voters. a little bit more conservative leaning, but again, also remember that in the first midterm, that president it generally looses seeds in his own party. >> heather: in terms of chain migration, it is a problem that has to be discussed. for every two new immigrants to the u.s...

The conclusion of that, will be big news. or alternatively, if mueller gets into other things within things that he can investigate, including trumps finances and that would include his taxes, so any way you look at it, whether theres nothing, the democrats -- the republicans will make a big deal out of that or if theres something, thats going to be a significant story in the coming year. >> no doubt well be talking about it a lot. doug, what was your biggest story for 2018? >> i think its going...

First year. the next highest first year turnover rate was half that. 17% for ronald reagan back in 1981. the fellow who conducted the analysis, katherine, said not only is the percentage double. the seniority of the people leaving is extraordinarily high. >> pretty interesting statistic. back with us, shannon. great to have you with us. look to 2018. trying to get agenda in order. seems to be major discrepancy what they want to start out. some want to go with entitlement. what will get the dem...

Got one in december and i think over time that will help us a great deal but look. no ones had a good midterm since 2002 and i think whistling past the political graveyard if you think youll escape that challenging environment. >> also, just look at president obama. and just look at getting obamacare through. dodd-frank and those sort of legislative wins did not produce electoral wins for democrats in the midterms following. you said if you need a wake-up call after virginia, new jersey and alab...