Page 949 - Midterm News Today

Durable, sustainable electoral coalition in future elections. or whether it was the product of an exceptional man who is an exceptional politician with an exceptional campaign. republican party knows that if you get the electorate that came out, voted for obama in 2008, and again in 2012, the country and its future looks one way and not a way that looks very good for the grand old party. but if you get the 2010 electorate, which, itself, was the most diverse midterm electorate in history but sti...

Or whether it was the product of an exceptional man who is an exceptional politician with an exceptional campaign. republican party knows that if you get the electorate that came out, voted for obama in 2008, and again in 2012, the country and its future looks one way and not a way that looks very good for the grand old party. but if you get the 2010 electorate, which, itself, was the most diverse midterm electorate in history but still less diverse than 2008 and 2012, the country looks a very d...

Where the money is and thats whos vulnerable. clearly theyll be in a position to move the democratic constituencies more than republican constituencies forever. >> thats other thing, george, the republicans -- part of this is sessentially republicans got past this because it didnt get to the floor of the house and you didnt get hundreds of republicans to vote on this. >> i think thats true, but i think if -- bloomberg is playing -- the mantra in d.c. is its about the first vote, its about the la...

Ballot poll tests for an election that will never take place. these elections at the end of the day, even if there is a national wave are 435 individual races. and there are a lot of republicans sitting in marginal districts who have better personal brands. by many, many points. you think of some of these districts particularly in the northeast where a lot of socially moderate republicans do well. that really makes democrats job of getting of seats they need a lot tougher. >> you look at new jer...

On ted cruise or rand paul. theyll be in my district." james, is the party tilting to the two sharpest voices? >> i just had a thought what you and i and howard on air, were the only three people around almost as long as the vice president has. >> i was thinking of you in the dogged campaign. im not sure how far back that goes. you would call the speakers office and i would hear about a guy with a southern accent from louisiana talking about a guy named lloyd. >> i was still in the business. i w...

American economy in all different parts. housing is back, the longevity of medicare and social security is improving, the federal budget picture is improving. >> thats an argument to do nothing. things are improving. >> no. its an argument to continue along the moderated balance path that president obama has pursued. but its also an understanding that these issues as important as they are are not going to deliver some kind of dramatic change to the presidents ability to fulfill his other desires...

Thank you. i promised you the first last word. on the president and his power and how any of this, if it does affect the midterm. >> i think tom makes a valid point. midterm elections give a second-term president often time great fits, however, to the extent that the democratic base has been somewhat at ease or less than at ease with whats happening, this leak democratic based voters will see what the real republican party unfortunately is still about in the immigration debate. and what they wil...

Have to deal. >> and my suggestion to them has been lets stop refighting old battles and work to make this law work the way its supposed to. >> first, lets talk about the president in the midterm. presidents dont gain seats in midterm, they lose them. that may be conventional wisdom, but its not all right. the model is not just midterm elections, but second-term midterm elections. elections have consequences. theyre supposed to give the voters what they want. in 20 st 12 voters wanted more presi...

They see is a white house sort of listing going from scandal-to-scandal and this is an impact and trust me, ive been to this rodeo and i know how it ends. >> it ends like it end -- i remember how it ended in 1998 when the republicans overreached and historically for the first time since james monroes presidency, the incumbent party gained seats in the midterm because republicans overreached on what they taught was a huge scandal that had collapsed -- >> nicole, last word. last word. >> i think t...

This ratio of engagement to propensity to vote. the sort of people that voted in 2008 and that voted in 2012, and are paying attention to what the president does, and are the filter through which you read various scandals or potential scandals are different than the sort of traditional voter that gallup and other major polling firms set out toç track years ago. it is that nuance action that sort of shift? who are americans and -- >> and who will come to the poll. i wonder if you read anything ...