Page 2 - Model Run News Today

With one model, one line, and one track. you look at guidance within every single model run. and in every single round, we want to bring this little bit further to the south. it shifted it, by the order about 75 miles before its all said and done. and as we stand, here with a pretty good handle on where we think this system will end up. and the likelihood scenario right now, around port charlotte, broke her on day, could be about nine foot storm surge. thats a catastrophic storm surge that is fo...

This point looking like tampa, again, the trough thats digging further south plays a big role on the track of this system. regardless we know the winds are going to pick up dealing with storm surge and a lot of heavy rain. with that model run, the american showing less rainfall, the trough that digs further south holds the european and brings more rainfall, tampa north into central florida. north central florida where were talking about rainfall amounts nearing a foot, pamela. >> wow. and it was...

North or south it may sit. looking at this model run, wednesday is dry for the majority of england and wales, and it looks like the rain will come in overnight wednesday and start to clear eastwards early thursday. but there is also the chance that this low could get slowed down, so it could be wetter than this across england and wales, certainly first thing on thursday. but later on in the day we are fairly confident that low will be away to the east and it should brighten up and there should b...

Dropping a few degrees. 13—15, the highest temperature is a bit further west with seventeens for cardiff and liverpool. and so friday we end the week there is winds blowing more strongly against a plot of dry weather but, as there is winds increase in strength temperatures will drop particularly across eastern coasts of scotland and england when we look at highs of 11 or 12. england when we look at highs of 11 or12. even england when we look at highs of 11 or 12. even further west with a sligh...

You. freeport. the center of the storm had the weve been very fortunate where we are. my house. strongest winds. we have two stories on a canal i want to show you, this is tropical storm force winds. thats what sandy looked like. has had storm surge. but we got back delivering fuel katrina. we know what those storms did damage-wise. dorian has winds extending out 350 miles. to some teams on the other side so its a little smaller in the expanse of the strongest winds. of the bridge. that is stron...

Anywhere around freeport, nassau, the bahamas, probably going see 100 miles per hour. but it not only stays there for a couple of hours, it stays there for a day. think about your house being battered by wind for 120 miles per hour for 24 hours. you lose one shingle, then another, then another, then the roof, and then something else. thats what the deal will be for the people in the bahamas. 50 miles per hour in charleston. this is only one model and this could change significantly even tonight....

Weep g we got amazing pictures of this satellite picture. dorian is intensifying with winds of 175 miles an hour. we have teams of meteorologists covering this hurricane from multiple locations in the path of this storm. lets begin our coverage in the cnn weather where ivan cabrera is tracking this storms path. >> incredible pictures coming out. ill show you those specifically a little closer, too. heres the latest, just breaking it down for you. things change per hour with each model run. this ...

Where it might hit land? >> so more of the modelles are trying to trend south, especially the european model, but again thats just one model. it could all go back for the next model run. the key thing to know, its got to go north after that, so really the entire state will have in impact from the storm, whether its direct landfall or the aftereffects as it continues to move on. alison chinchar, thank you very much. after treating puerto rico with scorn when the storm was bearing down on that u...

About that we use and rely on a lot in this forecasting, earlier today they got pretty close in to alignment. that makes us have more confidence in the forecast. now the latest run of this european model comes in. heres monday afternoon. had both of them making landfall monday. this slowing it way down. the european model doesnt bring it somewhere close to shore until wednesday or so. that model i have to tell you, hangs out in florida for about four to five days. we cant watch anyone single mod...

Rising mississippi river, including the flood gate here at the port of new orleans where im standing. this is going to be closed by around 5:00 p.m. eastern time. were also seeing pedestrian gates closing, arent the river walk and hilton hotel area, where a lot of tourists tend to gather. people are heeding the warnings. were seeing sand bags around some of the hotels and buildings around here. definitely keeping a watch for the stormy weather ahead, watching for storm surge, watching for flash ...