Nifty 50 is in the process of retracing the rise it has witnessed from 22,710 to 22,776. The next crucial support level is 22,370. On the upside, 22,620–22,650 shall act as an immediate hurdle from a short-term perspective, said Jatin Gedia of Sharekhan.
Positive chart patterns like higher tops and bottoms are intact as per the daily chart, and the present upmove is in line with the new higher top formation of the pattern. The short-term uptrend of the Nifty remains intact, and the next upside levels are around 22,800 (1.618% Fibonacci projection). Immediate support is at 22,520 levels, said Nagaraj Shetti of HDFC Securities.
Given the outperformance of large-cap (23 percent) and mid-cap (58 percent) stocks in the past year, brokerage house Investec believes the probability of a correction (10 percent drawdown) in 2024 is high.
“But our modest objectives of 22240-22450/550 continue to be in play though, along with an optimistic target of 22800-23000. But any prospects of potential delay in the onset of rate cuts, could jolt the ride, but may not be enough to trigger a collapse per se,” he says.
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"Nifty is now 20x 1-year forward - higher than the past 10-year average, but relative to EM (ex-China) the premium at 67% is only somewhat higher than the historical average. Also, on a PEG basis, the Indian market appears reasonable," said Jefferies.
An ETMarkets poll of 23 analysts from Dalal Street shows that most analysts see Nifty ending at 23,000. In the base scenario, Axis Securities sees Nifty at 23,000 in December 2024 by predicting that earnings will grow at 14% CAGR over FY23-26
Nifty on Thursday ended 124 points higher and crossed the 21,800 level for the first time to form a reasonable positive candle at the highs and indicate an uptrend continuation pattern.