China is experiencing a rare episode of sliding prices. Japans economy experienced this back in the 1990s and early 2000s. Now, this comes hot the heels of disappointing china trade data on tuesday, which showed that exports sank at their fastest rate since the pandemic, dropping by more 14 in the year tojuly, with imports also falling by more than 12 in the same period. Joining me now is duncan wrigley, Chief China Economist at pantheon macroeconomics. Thank you very much for being with us today. The Rest Of The World looking on in amazement. Considering the inflationary pressures the rest of us are dealing with. What do you read Between The Lines in this latest data . Between the lines in this latest data . Latest data . Ok, i mean, there are some latest data . Ok, i mean, there are some shortterm latest data . Ok, i mean, there are some shortterm factors i are some short term factors that push down the data for this month, there has been a surge of seasonal vegetables, the big pictu
Shares in Goldman Sachs fell 2 . The catalyst was moodys, downgrading the Credit Rating on several small and medium sized us banks, including mnt bank and pinnacle financial. The red flags raised by the Ratings Agency included a potential recession, as well as problems tied to the commercial real estate sector. As one analyst put it, any doubts about regional banking is bad for market sentiment. That wasnt helped by data from new york federal reserve, which showed that for the first time, americans owed more than 1 trillion on their credit cards. Traders have also been focused on corporate results, which so far have been better than expected. That was true for lyft, which reported results after the us market closed. Uber s small arrival is forecasting higher revenue in the Third Quarter based in part on a post pandemic rebound in ridesharing. Meanwhile, Electric Vehicle maker rivium posted a narrower lost than expeted and raised its Production Guidance for the full year. Meanwhile, Nin
In the 90s and early noughties. This comes hot off the heels of disappointing china trade data on tuesday showing exports sank at their fastest rate since the pandemic. Global demand for chinese made goods is falling down more 14 in the year tojuly. But domestic demand is down, too, with imports also falling by more than 12 in the same period. Earlier, i spoke to janet mui, whos the head of Market Analysis at rbc brewin dolphin, and she explained where the deflation was coming from. Deflation data, basically mostly coming from food prices and also commodities prices like raw materials, energy, etc. Actually, if you look at the underlying inflation. Things like services, things like tourism, leisure, hotels, actually they are up. The Core Inflation is up from 0. 4 to 0. 8 , but obviously its still pretty muted. So overall, i think it is a concern that china prices are contracting and it could be lasting for a while as well. How likely do you think it is, though, that china is going to
up even the price of oil has gone up a little. so what is going on? well, investors are looking ahead to the latest us inflation data which is out later today. the consumer price index figures will be closely watched by the us federal reserve as it begins its twoday meeting to decide on its next move on interest rates. consumers in america feeling more confident inflation is on its way down, according to the latest by the federal near term inflation expectations and for two years. the survey is a closely watched metric, because of consumers believe inflation will fall, they will already adjust spending patterns in anticipation of what is to come. those consumer expectations happen to die pretty closely with what economists are expecting for the latest inflation figures. they will likely show inflation went up slightly month over month but it will drop year over year. month but it will drop year overyear. numbers month but it will drop year over year. numbers like that would b
with what economists are expecting for the latest inflation figures that they will likely show that inflation went up slightly month over month, but it will drop year over year. numbers like that would be encouraging for the us federal reserve as it debates whether or not to make a change to interest rates. well, the us central bank started hiking rates aggressively last year. authorities have hiked rates ten times marking the fastest tightening cycle since the 1980s. expectations are high that this time , they might pause. earlier, i spoke with market strategist charu chanana, and she gave me her outlook for the us federal reserve. expectations are built in for the next two quarters. this time. i think the markets are being complacent about that slow down in information that you just talked about as well as a potential fall or skip, whatever you might call it. if you remember, last week we got some hock wish trends in the market from the reserve band of australia and reser