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Weekly Focus: Hawkish messages from the Fed and ECB

In a big central bank week, the ECB delivered a 25bp hike, which was no surprise, but an upward revision to the 2025 inflation forecast to 2.2% from 2

Yields Decline as a Deal on US Debt Ceiling is Getting Closer

The UK and US markets were closed yesterday, but in the European markets bond yields declined and the curve flattened from the long end. Spreads between the core-EU and periphery were stable despite the Spanish government calling a snap election for 30 July after losing in the local elections.

ECB Preview: The Art of Compromise - Action Forex

Next week, the ECB will meet to deliver another rate hike in its hiking cycle that started in July last year. This time, the question is whether it will slow the hiking pace to 25bp or continue to hike once more by 50bp. We believe it will be a 50bp compromise deal with no specific forward guidance (nor guidance on balance sheet normalisation in H2 yet), but repeating a data-dependent approach to future policy decisions.

Normalisation post banking turmoil

The banking turmoil that erupted in the wake of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) five weeks ago has subsided as a market theme as the string

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