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Leaning toward republican candidates. that is what to watch for. the independent registration is high. state like indiana. third, third, third. in new hampshire and new england, 40% of the independent vote. the other aspect is whether or not the tea party movement can generate enough real enthusiasm at margins to put some of the republican candidates over the edge. >> bret: from the early exit polls and we should warn everybody, these are early. youth vote is down. pretty low. african-american t...