Page 18 - Overconfidence News Today

Trump approval, meanwhile, under water, 57% disapproving of trump in a new cnn poll. that could be dragging down republicans, at least in some parts of the country. trump won florida, for example, but andrew gillum is leading his republican opponent by four points right now, in that governors race. same margin in floridas senate race. and mclaire mccaskill up three points in missouri. but heres what many play down about polls that close. all those leads are within the margin of error. so theyre ...

>> not confident but optimistic. >> i deeply feel that 2016 overconfidence. i deeply feel that. optimistic, but i worry that anything short of, like, the biggest blue wave thats ever happened will be perceived as being, oh, well, you cant -- trump cant do anything too disgusting to turn off his base. it becomes a reinforcement of trump. republicans have already conceded the fact they are the party of trump, those who are willing to not be 100% on board with him have basically retired. now the ad...

Post" had an article talking about how democrats and republicans are confident that their party will prevail. we heard what nancy pelosi said. she said we will win. we, the democrats, will win. also, there was a poll that the "the washington post" put out will democrats take control of the house? and 51 percent said yes. 49 percent said no. do you agree with that? do you think that democrat are confident that they will win or should they be confident? i know you feel like in the senate republica...

The national movement doesnt take it that seriously, even as the national progressive movement sees him as very serious. do you think theres a little bit of overconfidence on the right? >> it may be, i take a knock on exceptionali exceptionalism. whats happening in texas is similar to the rest of the country. texas has a few huge cities as well as suburbs which are trending in a liberal direction and separating from the rural counties that are much more republican leaning. just to connect it to ...

Terms of control whether democrats win by 1 or 30. >> well, anyone who says they know whats going to happen on election night two weeks from now i think is probably being somewhat -- somewhat disingenuous. i think this a very, very uncertain environment here. and i do think that the overconfidence would not be a good strategy for the democrats. particularly as you see republican enthusiasm ticking up. now, again, what we dont know are about these -- these voters who may be coming to the polls fo...

Democrats are also worried that all this talk about a blue wave, a pickup of 30, 40, 50 seats in the house has really put the party in a difficult position. it builds some overconfidence into the system here. >> maybe expectations management, right? if they take it back but its only 20, 30 seats. the president would claim that as a victory. >> exactly. even if its only a couple of seats, probably more what were looking like. this talk of a blue wave seems to be overstated. the president thinks t...

The value of us." obviously people in africa have that experience. people that work in kitchens have that experience. >> andy: i dont know how he did it. i will never know how he did it. the ability to walk into any room in any country in the world and appear to be at ease, at least at ease without overcompensation, without overconfidence, and to make others feel that ease. to be able to break bread with anybody, to have a toast with almost anybody. >> anthony: to victory, ruhlman, victory in ou...

Thats the thing. its a problem. we have seen over performances right now in clark and washington county but also an increase in voter registration. the same thing in georgia. i dont think democrats are going to be overconfidence because you have too much voter suppression going on. it is not just a matter of people voting early. you are going to have more people on election day. this will be a good day for democrats. republicans will admit privately the house is done. they know its done. they ha...

The ballot box. >> it is enough for us to show who they are. we got to show them who we are, what do we stand for? >> good morning. we are now just 16 days away from the crucial mid-term elections with control of congress at stake. not to mention the question of whether voters will impose a question on donald trump and whether the republican party -- and the republican party. and frankly, whether republican voter suppression will work or not. now, if you worked in politics or even just follow po...

Pundits are male. most political consultants are male. and they underestimate the extreme anger that women are feeling. and you see now for the very first time some coverage of women, volunteering of women, women donors. those people will not be dissuaded. >> yeah. >> unfortunately, in our politics, fear and anger is a great motivator. >> i want to go back to kate for a second because i do wonder if republicans are -- we talk about overconfidence, but i wonder if republicans are overconfident in...