Page 27 - Overconfidence News Today

Vehicle, one plan. and per ship and off you go. >> and off you go. if we have to move to a plan b, a backup plan, you come up with a moniker, one option is we discussed earlier on the show is expanding the search. it would be a big expansion of the search area. >> massive. >> now huge expansion. is there another option? why not retrace your steps? >> well, that, again, has to do with how much confidence they have and the case that they built so far. over-confidence can get you in trouble as well...

Its a 20% gap in what we feel we deserve. >> that is remarkable that men dont -- you know, women want what, you know, they think works best for everybody. men are always about i deserve this, i did this, and blow through the walls. >> its not always -- theres a lot of evidence that men lead towards overconfidence, but what i will say is its not fraud. its a natural -- as columbia university put it in a study we found, its natural overconfidence. men arent faking it. they just really tend to thin...

Welcome back to "morning joe." not quite as bad, donnie, in washington, d.c. >> a little nicer. >> its a city right now, theyre charged. theyre charged. its like atlanta, 1939 when "gone with the wind" came out. washington, d.c., all over "the confidence code." there are guys like you and me that have been suffering from a hopelessness. this hopelessness that consumes us. >> overconfidence example? >> yeah. >> no, im not overconfident. >> overconfidence and overcompetence is what they suffer fro...

Married. they decide to get married because they went through so much with that guy, or that woman. been through so much together, even though this relationship is terrible, were going to get married. >> i think thats a similar dynamic. this is something you work for your whole life. you built this. i also think she feels she earned this. >> i just think in the world of democratic politics, i think theres a discounting of the possibility she could lose frankly. i think theres a bizarre overconfi...

Doesnt want to run, not that theres a super structure thats been built, its that shes been building to this her whole life, its been handed to her on a silver platter, how do you say no to your one last chance? >> thats a great point. it reminds me of your metaphor, when someone is about to get married. they decide to get married because they went through so much with that guy, or that woman. been through so much together, even though this relationship is terrible, were going to get married. >> ...

Been built, its that shes been building to this her whole life, its been handed to her on a silver platter, how do you say no to your one last chance? >> thats a great point. it reminds me of your metaphor, when someone is about to get married. they decide to get married because they went through so much with that guy, or that woman. been through so much together, even though this relationship is terrible, were going to get married. >> i think thats a similar dynamic. this is something you work ...

Fight, and immigration, et cetera. >> yeah, its going to ping-pong back. a week is a long time in politics. months an eternity. this is remarkable numbers. this shift in the generic ballot does speak to how dissatisfied the american people are with both parties and how much of the latest disaster is likely to flip swing voters in the other direction. were still a long way from elections. but it is a sign that democrats have no reason for overconfidence and that the healthcare.gov disaster, as yo...

Environmentalists cited well, then you dont need that pipeline. republicans and conservatives and oil drillers making such a big deal of it, cool your jets. prices are coming down. shut up. >> well, theyre coming down right now because we have an oversupply of crude. but thats going to change. it always does. these are short-lived usually, these bonuses we get, these opportunities to have low prices. but this could provide for us crude for long term big supplies going down to houston and going d...

36 hours from the most crucial debate. we arent having a conversation, we are having a crisis the president is deeply doubting his performance skills in some sense even the agenda he is running on. he says you keep telling me talk about my plans for the future. we havent run on that. i didnt hatch that much to say. >> one of them. ron klein, experienced in debate prep was glad they reached this moment. he felt overconfidence was the worst thing for president obama going in. a better posture. >>t...

>> all four guys in the room when he said that. had the same thought. we are in unchartered territory. three weeks from election day. 36 hours from the most crucial debate. we arent having a conversation, we are having a crisis the president is deeply doubting his performance skills in some sense even the agenda he is running on. he says you keep telling me talk about my plans for the future. we havent run on that. i didnt hatch that much to say. >> one of them. ron klein, experienced in debate ...