The ceo of tripoint homes joins us with a look at inventory and the impact of rising Interest Rates. The dow down more than 200 points, hovering near session lows its been a rough week the s p is flat, but the nasdaq, the outperformer today, bouncing back from yesterdays rough session by about 88 points amazon, the big tech gainer, shares there up nearly 8 on the back of earnings more on that ahead that is helping the rest of the tech trade apple on deck, of course, to report next week and everybody watches that one lets begin with the latest read on the economy and steve liesman, we have had a lot of data this week, steve. Yeah, its been a good one, tyler, if you are an economics reporter even if you like the economy, because it was mostly stronger growth, growth tended to exceed estimates with inflation, however, remaining sticky. But curiously, fed rate hikes are now less in play, as ill show you in a seconds on the expectation that the robust economic readings wont last core pce pr
Actuarial, examine then, the assumption changes are indicated by the toeal bars, ad then, the impact of contributions on your unfunded liability are the the red slivers. So basically, its to give a historical perspective, back in 2007, the plan actually had a surplus of about 1. 4 billion, and over the course of the last ten years, unfunded has increased by about 5 billion for a net unfunded liability as of 2017 of 3. 5 billion. Now there are three main fa factors for this increase. The first is the 2. 3 billion for assumption changes, and you can see that in 2010 and 2015 we had the dependenciy graphic experience studies, and those 2 eal bars wiare based basically, people are living longer, so youre paying benefits longer. It drives up your liabilities, and also, theyre retiring earlier than anticipated, you have shorter time to fund your benefits, and then, you also have to pay for them for a longer period of time. And then, the second driver is the investment losses, about 2 billion
Valuation. It just shows the reconciliation and recording rate and as bill said, there was aness decrease of 1. 5 in the contribution rate, but there are offsetting events if you will that happened that did have an impact on the rate. First of all, there was a market gain on your assets of 13. 5 , and that increased or decreased the contribution by about 1 of pay, but since you had those market returns, it triggered your supplemental cola that were effective july 1st, 2017, and that basically gave most retirees about an additional 1. 5 increase on their benefits, in addition to their basic cola, so that increased the contribution rate by about 1. 5 . The second set of offsetting events were the continued phase in of your 2015 assumption changes. If you will, when we did the demographic assumption study back in 2015, it was decided to phase in the impact of the unfunded over five years, so youre in the third year of that phase in, and that increased the contribution rate by about 6. 3 o
Liabilities and your assets. The sources of the unfunded are liability gains and losses which are the gray bars, and thats when people dont retire according to the assumptions, their salary increases or lower or higher than the assumptions, so you have whats called liability losses. The gold bars are your liability losses on your actuarial, examine then, the assumption changes are indicated by the toeal bars, ad then, the impact of contributions on your unfunded liability are the the red slivers. So basically, its to give a historical perspective, back in 2007, the plan actually had a surplus of about 1. 4 billion, and over the course of the last ten years, unfunded has increased by about 5 billion for a net unfunded liability as of 2017 of 3. 5 billion. Now there are three main fa factors for this increase. The first is the 2. 3 billion for assumption changes, and you can see that in 2010 and 2015 we had the dependenciy graphic experience studies, and those 2 eal bars wiare based basi