department that is basically headed by someone who joe department that is basically headed by someone whojoe biden himself appointed to an outside independent lawyer. appointed to an outside independent la er. . . , ., lawyer. that was david willis, our north america lawyer. that was david willis, our north america correspondent - lawyer. that was david willis, our. north america correspondent talking to lucy gray. let s take a look again at the world cup in qatar. in 2010, paul the octopus correctly predicted results for the world cup. however, these days the experts are the analysts who trawl through the reams of data about players and teams. and where there is data there is mathematics. and, particularly, mathematical models. i ve spoken before withjoshua bull, a mathematical modeller, who has told us more about england and wales predictions. my my model gives us about a three or 4% my model gives us about a three or ll% chance of winning. it is not terrible, but not great. i do
founder of north korea, is here for the foreseeable future and the next generation is already being groomed in potential leadership. when his daughter will be a future leader is a different issue, but there is an element of stability of the dynasty within a communist regime, which we do find slightly unusual. do find slightly unusual. simon, thank ou do find slightly unusual. simon, thank you for do find slightly unusual. simon, thank you for your do find slightly unusual. simon, thank you for your take - do find slightly unusual. simon, thank you for your take on - do find slightly unusual. simon, thank you for your take on all i do find slightly unusual. simon, thank you for your take on all of that. let s take a look again at the world cup in qatar. in 2010, paul the octopus correctly predicted results in the 2010 world cup. however, these days the experts are the analysts who trawl through the reams of data about players and teams. and where there is data there is mathematics
looking hopeful. looking hopeful. when you look at the specifics looking hopeful. when you look at the specifics of looking hopeful. when you look at the specifics of it, looking hopeful. when you look at the specifics of it, do looking hopeful. when you look at the specifics of it, do you - looking hopeful. when you look at the specifics of it, do you drill- the specifics of it, do you drill down to the data of how well individual players might do in the tournament? i individual players might do in the tournament? individual players might do in the tournament? , ., ., tournament? i personally have not, but ou tournament? i personally have not, but you definitely tournament? i personally have not, but you definitely can. tournament? i personally have not, but you definitely can. one - tournament? i personally have not, but you definitely can. one of i tournament? i personally have not, but you definitely can. one of the i but you definitely can. one of the reasons i made
the thing is, we have looked back atjust how good phil or however many reincarnations of phil there have been how good he has been over the years at predicting the weather. and the answer is, not very. this is an annual fraud perpetrated on the american people. in 135 years he has been rightjust 40 per cent of the time which is worse than a coin flip. you could literally flip a coin and get it right more times than him. and the thins it there are better pundits out there animals that are at, the very top of their game. who remembers paul the octopus? he predicted the results in the 2008 euros and in 2010 world cup and he got it right 85% of the time. eight tentacles, nine brains far far superior to a posh squirrel.