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Calculated Risk: Seven High Frequency Indicators for the Economy

4/12/2021 08:17:00 AM These indicators are mostly for travel and entertainment.    It will interesting to watch these sectors recover as the vaccine is distributed.    IMPORTANT: Be safe now - if all goes well, we could all be vaccinated by June. ----- Airlines: Transportation Security Administration ----- Click on graph for larger image. This data shows the seven day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Blue) and 2021 (Red). The dashed line i...
New York United States Toddw Schneider Box Office Hotel Occupancy Rate Box Office Mojo

Calculated Risk: MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 4.90%"

Note: This is as of March 28th. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest Forbearance and Call Volume Survey revealed that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 6 basis points from 4.96% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week to 4.90% as of March 28, 2021. According to MBA’s estimate, 2.5 million homeowners are in forbearance plans. ... “The share of loans in forbearance decreased for the fifth straight week, and new forbearance requests dropped to...
Mike Fratantoni Mortgage Bankers Association Call Volume Mortgage Loans Forbearance Decreases Call Volume Survey

Calculated Risk: April 5th COVID-19 Vaccinations, New Cases, Hospitalizations

4/05/2021 06:01:00 PM Note: Ive been posting this data daily for over a year. Ill stop once all three of these criteria are met: 1) 70% of the population over 18 has had at least one dose of vaccine, 2) new cases are under 5,000 per day, and 3) hospitalizations are below 3,000. According to the CDC, 167.2 million doses have been administered. 23.2% of the population over 18 is fully vaccinated, and 40.2% of the population over 18 has had at least one dose ( 103.7 million people have had at l...
Calculated Risk Real Estate House Prices Residential Investment Bank Failure Auto Sales

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Calculated Risk: CoreLogic: House Prices up 10.4% Year-over-year in February

Notes: This CoreLogic House Price Index report is for February. The recent Case-Shiller index release was for January. The CoreLogic HPI is a three month weighted average and is not seasonally adjusted (NSA). CoreLogic® ... today released the CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI™) and HPI Forecast™ for February 2021. Home prices continued to increase in February, reaching the highest annual gain since April 2006, as demand continues to clash with historically low supply. These factors have c...
San Francisco United States Los Angeles Frank Martell Market Forces At Work Corelogic House Price Index

Calculated Risk: April 4th COVID-19 Vaccinations, New Cases, Hospitalizations

4/04/2021 04:11:00 PM Note: Ive been posting this data daily for over a year. Ill stop once all three of these criteria are met: 1) 70% of the population over 18 has had at least one dose of vaccine, 2) new cases are under 5,000 per day, and 3) hospitalizations are below 3,000. According to the CDC, 165.1 million doses have been administered. 23.2% of the population over 18 is fully vaccinated, and 40.2% of the population over 18 has had at least one dose ( 103.7 million people have had at l...
Calculated Risk Real Estate House Prices Residential Investment Bank Failure Auto Sales

Calculated Risk: Housing Inventory April 5th Update: At Record Lows

Click on graph for larger image in graph gallery. This inventory graph is courtesy of Altos Research. As of April 2nd, inventory was at 310 thousand (7 day average), compared to 751 thousand the same week a year ago.  That is a decline of 59%. A week ago, inventory was at 313 thousand, and was down 58% YoY.  Seasonally, inventory should bottom soon. Posted by Calculated Risk on
Mike Simonsen Altos Research Calculated Risk Real Estate House Prices Residential Investment

Calculated Risk: April 3rd COVID-19 Vaccinations, New Cases, Hospitalizations

4/03/2021 03:39:00 PM Note: Ive been posting this data daily for over a year. Ill stop once all three of these criteria are met: 1) 70% of the population over 18 has had at least one dose of vaccine, 2) new cases are under 5,000 per day, and 3) hospitalizations are below 3,000. According to the CDC, 161.7 million doses have been administered. 23.1% of the population over 18 is fully vaccinated, and 40.1% of the population over 18 has had at least one dose ( 103.5 million people have had at l...
Calculated Risk Real Estate House Prices Residential Investment Bank Failure Auto Sales

Calculated Risk: Brief Discussion: The Impact of Rising Mortgage Rates on Home Sales and House Prices

4/04/2021 09:36:00 AM CR Note: There is quite a bit of information (and charts) in this article by Matthew Graham at MortgageNewsDaily: Whos Lying About The Housing Market?. Here are a few excerpts on the impact of mortgage rates on home sales and house prices. Click on graph for larger image. The inventory situation may mean that prices remain more resilient in the current housing cycle despite the recent surge in interest rates. Even then, past examples of rate spikes have only had moderate...
Matthew Graham Lying About The Housing Calculated Risk Real Estate House Prices Residential Investment

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