I do want to highlight a 10 year yield in the u. S. , the yield is lower by about one basis point. 60 to 70 basis points, and how much can we tolerate on higher upside when it comes to yields . The Democrat National convention will be focusing on joe bidens vision of the party. Last night focused on trumps performance in office including his handling of covid19. To everyone who supported other candidates in the primary, and to those who may have voted for donald trump in the last election, the failed federal government that watched new york get ambushed by their negligence and then watched new york suffer but all through it learned absolutely nothing. Itay, six months after began, the nation is still unprepared. Magic if we had a national strategy. So everyone has access to a safe vaccine. More than 150,000 people have died and our economy is in shambles because of a virus that this president downplayed for too long. That even before trumps negligent response to this pandemic, too many
A simulcast, bloomberg radio, sirius xm jenna 119. Good morning, semper this go. Good morning, san francisco. On television, worldwide and in london with anna edwards, we say good morning as well. Of marketd set discussions today. Weve almost pushed aside that in 30 minutes in america, it will be the Economic Data point of the week to see if we see continued improvement in the labor economy from the depths of march. Anna anna absolutely. Such a flexible economy, and not the same way as many of the economies here in europe. We seem big moves in these claims numbers, and as we start to see unemployment come down, where will it level off . Thats got to be one of the key questions as we had into the fall. Tom mark zandi joining bloomberg surveillance, the great moodys economist, and he said the Unemployment Rate in america is not 10 . It is somewhere around 14 . Data 12,ly, the yields come in. A virusou to give us update in europe. Mi correct that if you go to paris, you have to quarantine
Implications for Monetary Policy but the implications for fiscal policy. Moree longer we wait, the institutional damage. Michael collins joining us. I think that was the first question everyone asked when this job support dropped, what do these numbers mean for the talks in d. C. . Michael i dont think these numbers have any impact. They are backward looking to a large extent. The survey period ended weeks ago. The is important is trajectory of job growth over the next couple quarters. Personally, it will be really sluggish. We have had a big rebound, a and part of that rebound is over, and it will be really tough. You have the expiration of some of these programs like ppp, unemployment benefits, and that is going to weigh on income and spending. Until theyy not act have a gun to their head. Are doing well, ostensibly, the markets are improving, they are dragging their feet. Negativewill take more data for them to act in unison. Jonathan in this market, it is not pushing anyone around.
Its 46 waiting to apple, amazon, microsoft, facebook, and google. We are seeing the worst case fear on the part of investors that if those names go down it will take the market. We are seeing that split between the s p 500 and the nasdaq. Small caps getting a bid, which did not happen yesterday. David speculate with me. How much of this is the real world . We have the big european fiscal bailout approved yesterday. We are talking today about one in the United States. Is it possible this is reacting and stocks would do well if there was a recovery . Abigail i think this has more to do with trading and technicals. When you look at the rotations, there are many rotations going on week after week between the different sectors. It does not fit into one bucket , and lestlogy investors think one week unless investors think one week recovery. Where we have real euphoria is silver, up 60 . Gold lagging behind on the year. Gold is leading. It is not stocks that are getting a huge big rally out o
Still, 2000, he little bit of a base there. Coming on the program, we will speak with the Deutsche Bank chief International Strategist. Ceo, it Bookings Holdings on the state of travel. President trump considering a move he decided against last september, cutting the gains tax after saying it would not do enough to help the middleclass. Will hear about that in the upcoming few weeks and i think it will be exciting. Gains tax will be, a lot of people put to work, and a cut in the Capital Gains tax. Talks are stalling out between republicans and democrats. I want to bring in our Bloomberg Contributor for more. Little bit of deja vu. We heard this is in september 2017, he started to warm up to the idea and then reversed course, saying it would not help lower and middle classes. Into thousand 18, they briefly considered something along the lines. A bit of deja vu. I am not terribly surprised. As much as President Trump has moved away from the idea, he has indicated he could change his mind