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November 2020 Headline JOLTS Job Openings Year-over-Year Growth Rate Improved

The BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) can be used as a predictor of future job growth, and the predictive elements show that the year-over-year growth rate of unadjusted private non-farm job openings year-over-year rate of growth improved but remains in contraction. Analyst Opinion of JOLTS Data The unadjusted data this month remained well below average for the rate of growth seen before the beginning of 2019. However, the pandemic effects will drive this data, and forecasts u...
Steven Hansen Labor Turnover Survey Unadjusted Separation Levels Philly Fed Econintersect Employment Index Conference Board

NY resolution to get a better-paying job? This free new tool can help

NY resolution to get a better-paying job? This free new tool can help Updated Jan 01, 2021; Posted Jan 01, 2021 To find a job with a similar set of skills, and a promise of at least a 10% pay increase, users navigate to a โ€œbuild your pathโ€ screen. There they input their original occupation and metro area from a drop-down menu. The software responds with alternative jobs, scored mathematically by their degree of match.Lynne Sladky | AP Photo Facebook Share Job seekers can increase their ea...
United States Keith Wardrip Us Census Bureau Federal Reserve Banks Occupational Mobility Explorer Philly Fed

26 December 2020 New York Fed Weekly Economic Index (WEI): Index Improves

The New York Feds Weekly Leading Index (WLI) continues to show an economy that is just above the worst seen during the Great Recession. However, this index remains on a recovery trend based on the 13 week rolling average.. Analyst Opinion of the Weekly Leading Index This data set should be considered a high-frequency coincident indicator on a par with the Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index produced by the Philly Fed - and both show conditions caused by the coronavirus pandemic are ...
New York United States Steven Hansen New York Fed Weekly Leading Index Weekly Leading

COVID-19 restrictions push U.S. weekly jobless claims to three-month high

6 Min Read WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing first-time claims for jobless benefits unexpectedly rose last week as a relentless wave of new COVID-19 infections hobbled business operations, offering more evidence that the economyโ€™s recovery from the pandemic recession was faltering. That was underscored by other data on Thursday showing manufacturing activity in the mid-Atlantic region cooled in December, with factories reporting a sharp slowdown in new orders and job growt...
New York United States New Jersey North Carolina Chris Rupkey Andrea Ricci

Calculated Risk: Dallas Fed: "Texas Manufacturing Activity Expands at a Faster Pace" in December

Expansion in Texas factory activity picked up in December, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, rebounded from 7.2 to 25.5, indicating an acceleration in output growth. Other measures of manufacturing activity also point to stronger growth this month. The new orders index pushed up 11 points to 17.8, and the growth rate of orders index rose from 9.7 to 16.5. The capacity util...
New York United States Texas Manufacturing Outlook Institute For Supply Management Dallas Fed Texas Manufacturing Activity Expands

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November 2020 Coincident Indices Generally Slow Slowing Economic Conditions

November 2020 Coincident Indices Generally Show Slowing Economic Conditions The year-over-year rate of growth of the majority of coincident indices improved relative to last month - but mostly remain in contraction. It should be obvious the economy entered a recession in March 2020 but likely exited in May or June. A recession ends when the economy starts improving. Analyst Opinion of the Current Status of the Coincident Indicators The reality is that most of the economic indicators have mode...
New York United States Federal Reserve Bank Chicago Fed National Activity Index Current Status New York Fed

Equity sentiment and sterling hit by UK's health crisis

Share this Politics was in play last week as UK-EU trade talks and US stimulus discussions took centre stage. There were some fresh concerns on the British-European front and that weighed on sentiment a little, hence why the FTSE 100 and major indices in continental Europe lost a little ground on Friday. The absence of a Covid-19 relief package in the US caused stocks to retreat from their recent record highs. Last night, US Senate majority leader, Mitch McConnell, said that an agreement has be...
South Korea United Kingdom City Of Mitch Mcconnell Nancy Pelosi Federal Reserve

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported: In the week ending December 12, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 885,000, an increase of 23,000 from the previous weeks revised level. The previous weeks level was revised up by 9,000 from 853,000 to 862,000. The 4-week moving average was 812,500, an increase of 34,250 from the previous weeks revised average. The previous weeks average was revised up by 2,250 from 776,000 to 778,250. emphasis addedThis does not include the 455,037 initial claims ...
United States Kermit Baker Richardh Clarida Neel Kashkari Jeromeh Powell Roberts Kaplan

Gold Price Today: Yellow Metal Trades Flat But Above Rs 50,000; Buy On Dips

Gold price today: Yellow metal trades flat but above Rs 50,000; buy on dips Gold is likely to remain volatile and any decline should be used as a buying opportunity. Gold has support at Rs 50,050, while resistance is placed at Rs 50,920, experts say. December 18, 2020 / 10:28 AM IST Gold was trading a tad lower in Indian markets on December 18, tracking the muted trend in international spot prices. On the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX), February gold contracts were trading lower by 0.24 per...
Sriram Iyer Manoj Jain Commodity Currency Research At Prithvi Finmart Commodity Exchange Senior Research Analyst Multi Commodity Exchange

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