Page 7 - Plus 4 News Today

Even a point or two, republicans more enthusiastic to vote for him and democrats slightly enthusiastic voting for her, it can matter on election day. and you were talking about if its a four or five-point race, nah, and if its a one-point race, thats something. if she is winning by eight points, doesnt change, and if she is winning by two, it does. >> chris just said in a abc washington post poll trump is up one? >> up one natalionallynationall. >> and prior to this, it was 42, 45, clinton. >> i...

But looking back at polls for a second. averaging polls after polls, shes up by six. which you got to remember i think the president won with less than 5 percentage points. so six for a divided polarizing country, six is not a bad number and i want to talk about florida for a second. i think the poll, the bloomberg poll is an outlier. and bloomberg is historically known for bad sampling. the party i.d. for republicans is plus 4. which cant be the case because florida demographics is changing. af...

Bellwether polling how that particular state is going to point. >> as clinton appears to be leading her lead in the national polls at about seven points before the final debate, and historically speaking how good of an indication is the final outcome is the poll conducted weeks before voting day? >> again, historically, its a good indicator, however, you know, its dangerous, and i have to warn your viewers, the next four polls to drop off the real clear politics are clinton plus, six, nine, ten ...

Of trump. after an averaging of all the polls in the state, real clear politics says cruz is up on plus 4 at 30.2%. with trump number two, 26.2, rubio third at 12.3 and carson hanging on to fourth at 10. granted, iowa may end up choosing a different winner in the caucus than new hampshire or even south carolina, but it could also be an indicator of momentum for one particular candidate peaking at just the right time. who that is remains to be seen. coming up on "the real story," senior u.s. defe...

In the horse race. ted cruz is ahead by kind of a lot. and hes perceived to be the winner. hes got a plus 23 net score. the beltway media i think mostly decided that marco rubio was the winner. that is not how republican viewers nationwide saw it. they saw it that ted cruz won. and that presumably might be whats driving overall support for him. but now look at the other debate performance numbers from the other candidates. again, this is a really big national survey of republican voters and here...

Republican poll for the last 99 days. >> its over. >> he really should make a stepping out. i bet nick thinks its time, right? in the nbc news/wall street journal poll, 25% back donald trump while ben carson is within the margin of error. jeb bush remains in fifth place at 8% while carly fiorina drops into sixth with 7%. >> donald trump highest number hes ever been at, hes plus 4. ben carson sticking out there. proving once again the media knows nothing, on the tale of a

Thing thats really interesting. rick perry, if he doesnt make the debate stage, hes been picking a fight with donald trump on donald trumps rhetoric. so has lindsey graham but worth noting that its possible both of them might not be on the debate stage. then you look at someone like mike huckabee who decided not to pick a fight with donald trump, but instead with president obama on the iran deal and that seemed to solidify mike huckabees position where hes in the middle of the pack in the top te...

5.4% of the delegates, 133 out of 2,471 will be selected in february. and it will cost you $4 million a week to be rung television in those four states. so its going to be $16 million a for a month of television plus 4 to $8 million more. >> but its all about momentum. >> its all about momentum. you got a 20 to $24 million problem. plus, the cost of getting from here to there, which is going to be a million or two million each for one of those guys. then you take the first two weeks of march. ma...

A lot of negative ads against democrats for ma moes. historical trends against democrats and they are running their own, their own campaign. i think you are sell britting a little too early. >> maybe. but im okay about it. >> i think we have to work very hard and put out a positive agenda. i think we have to do a lot of things. but plus 4 a u.s. senator, she is still below 50. >> yes. in a state that is very for democrats to win it. >> as inducomumbent senator -- >> i want it talk about this alm...

If i have a million dollars, i could assume an income of $40,000 a year if i want to make sure i dont run out of money. so whatever you have, plus 4%? >> times 4%. >> is what you could reasonably live on. >> are you related to merrill lynch? >> hes my evil twin brother. >> good to see you. >> thank you. >> we have more "fox & friends" coming up. iran claimed it successfully launched a monkey into space. but was it all a fraud? more on the monkey business straight ahead. and we head back to the b...