Page 10 - Plus 7 News Today

A love like ours is meant to be. you know, dreaming of you. i wrote him a letter one time and i told him, you dont have to be bill gates to be with me, but you are bill gates in your heart. and he wrote back and told me, no, im not bill gates, but i wish i had his money, i could give you a lot more. you know? and that was nice for him to say that. these are the letters that i get. feel this. feel this. >> thats what love feels like? >> thats what it feels like. one letter, i have some letters he...

And he wrote back and told me, no, im not bill gates, but i wish i had his money, i could give you a lot more. you know? and that was nice for him to say that. these are the letters that i get. feel this. feel this. >> thats what love feels like? >> thats what it feels like. one letter, i have some letters he writes 14 and 15 pages. if he write 14 pages i have to write 14 pages plus 7 more pages. thats why i like for him to write a lot. this is what i do. this is how i spend my time. >> from wha...

Percentage of young people, again, a big obama constituency turn out. and in all these models that were what were seeing on these exit polls is, for example, narrowly its high 60% of latinos voting for obama. 90% blacks voting for obama. among whites, this is very telling, obama -- romney is getting close to 60% of the white vote in the country. >> megyn: we dont know though necessarily whether the young voters in particular are breaking for the president the way they did four years ago. i mean,...

Through his other dealings. i want to get to the panel now for their thoughts. brit? >> bret: something should be said about the polls. lot of us were troubled by state polls that showed pluralities of democrats voting that we thought approached those of 2008 and we didnt think it was possible. it was plus 7 democrat in 2008. we didnt think it was likely that obama would do that well. obviously overall the race is closer than it was, much closer than it was. but this is the last sweep of the exi...

Something they can rely on. it helps them. thats why they tend to vote democratic. >> do you think thats what we were seeing when we saw dem plus 7 in polls those were the liberal moderates? >> no. i think thats what i was saying earlier that was people being asked by a pollster what party do you want identify with? independent is now starting to say i identify with democrats because im voting for barack obama. so, you are getting people who -- it could go in either direction. in 2010 they were ...

Our latest daily tracking poll, obama 49%, romney 48%. so im going to do what a lot of people do. im going to wait to see what michael barone says about the county by county turnout in some key swing states. megyn: i want to ask you what emerged now is a discussion about whether these polls that have shown president obama a little ahead. a couple show him a little ahead and there is a question about whether they are assuming this electorate will look like it did in 2008. the dems final number wa...

So obama is up by 2. it causes people to say thats probably not going to be right. your thoughts on that analysis. >> the partisan makeup of a poll is the most important determinate. our own numbers compared to four years ago, the democrats had a 7-point advantage. d-plus 7. we are showing d-plus 2 today. that means republicans have a 5-point pickup from four years ago. i think if a state poll is showing similar partisan breakdowns from four years ago its probably tilting in the presidents direc...

Obama into the white house last time. >> d plus 7. in 2008 obama won by seven points over mccain, and theyre kind of counting on a turnout -- not in every state, but of a d plus 7. if its plus 7 or plus, obamas going to win. if its d plus 3 or a republican edge -- because they think they have an edge in independents -- then romneys going to win. its so interesting, though, ive been reading these polls, and real clear politics which does a really good job, its a web site, realclearpolitics.com, a...

And far too few republicans. the latest pew survey has a national margin of 3 points for obama has 4 points more democrats than republicans. but the gallup poll which is the most authoritative last week concluded that there were now three points more republicans than democrats in the country. so its d-4 and the reality is r-3. so its a 7-points distortion. so if you are showing romney losing by 3 hes running by 4. if you take the finding in the pew poll that republicans are 6% more likely to tur...

States is his stand among independent voters. these are voters not totally affiliated to one party or another. who reviewed both men. who honestly is better for the next four years, mitt romney even in democratic polls is showing an advantage among independents by 16 points. some polls by 22. martha: tony, let me jump in. how do you explain that? how do you explain the advantage with independents, when you look at head-to-head, many cases president obama has a one percentage, one point gain, lea...