Page 5 - Plus 9 News Today

He is driving the news every day. whether you love him or dont, you cant get away from him. he invokes strong reactions on both sides and thats what we are seeing in these numbers. brian: people think big turnout is big for democrats. do you still believe that. >> not necessarily, no. in fact, it depends on the district. it depends on the state. if its a republican-leaning district or republican leaning state, big turnout would be probably good for republicans. i think its a district by district...

Ainsley: indiana plus 9%. missouri plus 8%. north dakota plus 8%. tennessee plus 11%. brian: these are the states in which have you blue senators in red states. and in some of those states, we have watched that lead just disappear. especially missouri. where senator mccaskill took the mystery out. saying im not voting for him. i dont like his judicial record. steve: policy. brian: i dont like who is he as a judge. people of missouri understands she is not involved in the controversy. everyone is...

Intellect. the country is with him all the way. what we are talking about right there is a brand new fox news poll that came out last night, looked at number of battle ground states, five of them. and it looks as if the republicans in that state are more energized and they are suggesting it could be over the kavanaugh nomination. ainsley: elections are just a few weeks away. look at this board we have for you. this wall. its 2% up. more republicans are interested in the elections. plus, 2% in ar...

Women, independents plus 15 last month are negative 16 now. a 31 point drop. >> boy, thats a turn around. >> seniors plus 9 in august and negative 10 now. >> gene robinson, that poll and a quarter wont buy you a cup of coffee at a starbucks on capitol hill, but it does point to the bigger -- as far as outcome, kavanaugh, none of the senators will be looking at those poll numbers, but people who are running, republicans running in the suburban districts of hillary clinton one and that republicans...

Their chickens before they hatch. if you look at the polls that show them up by double digits, the generic ballots are typically of registered voters that are weighted plus 9 for democrats which look similar to the polls which showed hillary clinton winning in 2016. the polls im interested in are the one offs likely voters. likely voters typically show democrats up 2 to 6 points which means this is more of a coin toss than people want to admit. the poll that was released recently showed 1,000 li...

Progressive. she is a learn. she took on the defense department for women in combat. she is now running against a congressman, her congressman who said they didnt want to meet with her because she was not a donor. so, they are not like running on really progressive issues in some of these competitive districts. the democrats have been really smart on that. the other thing that i think is interesting. a new pew poll that also was today republicans trusted on the economy by plus 9 over democrats. ...

Generic, who would you vote for congress in uristrict, asking voters where they are now, democratsot 40%, republicans got 39. that is plus 9 for democrats on that generic ballot. >> will be a real problem with democrats get the majority in the n the st 6 weeks of the midterm campaign i guarantee you the biggest talk on both sides of the aisle will bempeachment. if they get the majority this will be a bad final 2 years of this first this president because it will be about the impeachment hearing,...

Phenomenon saying the split personality of the election makes it difficult for any party to develop any kind of overarching message. and it looks like the democrats will lose seats in the senate. is this unusual to you? how does this affect midterm strategies? >> this is probably a more complicating midterm election than most. primarily because of who is in the white house. hes such a focus of attention for the media and others that to some extent its complicating the midterm messaging and strat...

In 2020 as republican parties gotten more red, becomes more rural as democratic parties become more blue, its become more urban. and thats left the suburbs as a battlefield. i think we saw one of the early battles of it playing out in this race which was surprisingly close. >> jason john sop, if youre a republican in the house of representatives and you won your seat with less than 20% of the vote, what do you feel like tonight? >> youre not only encouraged, you have to look at karen handel and ...

And think like they basically spent $23 million -- spending like tom bradys salary to keep a seat that had been in republican hands for 20 years. thats not something that you want to have to think about if youre a republican next year heading into 2018. knowing that the public is going to be more energized, more excited and possibly unhappy about the health care bill. look, at end of the day, and i agree with steve in this regard, this is a plus 9% registration district for the republicans. they...