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September 11, 2012
Two new polls say the same thing that president obama has gotten the big e. bounce from the conventions and you say? >> i think thats probably accurate. first of all, there is an interesting study done by two political scientists one of them tom holbrook that goes back and look at all of the conventions from 64 and democrats on average get about a 5 point bounce, thats what this one looks like this is an interesting case because this is only the second time in modern history in which we have had...
September 11, 2012
Then senator obama, was two points behind john mccain, september 10, 2008. barack obama two points below john mccain goes on to win. lets take a look at convention bounces over the years going back to 1988 with michael dukakis. he got a 7 point bounce, bush got the bounce. bill clinton got a 16. that went against president bushs 5-point bounce. 3 points for dole. you see bouncing has kind of disappeared -- it gets down tho these tiny little bounces and steve im not even sure we can call whats ha...
September 11, 2012
Barack obama two points below john mccain goes on to win. lets take a look at convention bounces over the years going back to 1988 with michael dukakis. he got a 7 point bounce, bush got the bounce. bill clinton got a 16. that went against president bushs 5-point bounce. 3 points for dole. you see bouncing has kind of disappeared -- it gets down tho these tiny little bounces and steve im not even sure we can call whats happening now a bounce. theres a real move. you can see in this poll the pres...
September 3, 2012
>>guest: we will see six to eight point bounce. we have already seen six of the eight points for mitt romney and that will counter by four to six points so the net effect will probably be mitt romney to to four points net between both conventions pre-convention and post convention. >>neil: after the conventions whatever nominal lead governor romney has remains. why? >>guest: people are dissatisfied. when you look at the polls, people -- you look at approval rating of president obamas it is 47 st...
September 1, 2012
President obama got a four point bounce on the other hand, john kerry, back in 2004 got zero bounce. and president bush only two points. and this election is a lot more 2004, than like cent 00-- 2008. but i think governor romney will get a bounce. republicans survived everything from hurricane isaac to hurricane clint. >> and indeed. the fact that both conventions are happening so close together how does that affect the bounce. >> bounces tend to fade quickly. we go immediately from the republic...
August 31, 2012
Together and feel that is an effective way to campaign. >> and you can cover two events with two people. and you can get two spots. >> im sure well see a lot of that, too. their families have fun. theyre tweeting out pictures of the ryan children with romney grandchildren. seems like a happy tour bus when together. >> greta: any sense of the confidence level? >> sometimes, its hard, its just cheer leading and people are so excited and this is the ticket theyve been waiting for but i do feel ther...
August 31, 2012
Together and feel that is an effective way to campaign. >> and you can cover two events with two people. and you can get two spots. >> im sure well see a lot of that, too. their families have fun. theyre tweeting out pictures of the ryan children with romney grandchildren. seems like a happy tour bus when together. >> greta: any sense of the confidence level? >> sometimes, its hard, its just cheer leading and people are so excited and this is the ticket theyve been waiting for but i do feel ther...
August 31, 2012
Together and feel that is an effective way to campaign. >> and you can cover two events with two people. and you can get two spots. >> im sure well see a lot of that, too. their families have fun. theyre tweeting out pictures of the ryan children with romney grandchildren. seems like a happy tour bus when together. >> greta: any sense of the confidence level? >> sometimes, its hard, its just cheer leading and people are so excited and this is the ticket theyve been waiting for but i do feel ther...
August 31, 2012
Had other opportunities along the way to try to tell this very personal story. i know its hard for a lot of people to sort of make that jump, you know, to talk about themselves. george h.w. bush 41 used to have some of that same problem also. so its difficult for some of these guys but look, i think theres time now when voters are paying attention to still tell that story right now. >> what do you expect, bill burton, coming out of this convention? do you expect a bump for them? theyve had a lot...
August 28, 2012
The convention predicting the outcome of these next two weeks. i believe these two conventions are going to really begin to seal the fate of this election. i think that romneys convention beginning with ann romneys speech tomorrow night is going to put to rest the character assassination by obama. people will see the real story of bain capital and meet the real guy through ann romney when she describes what the guy is really like. they will see paul ryan with their own eyes. they will watch ro...