Page 33 - Polling Average News Today

Theory? >> if you have asked me any other political year, i would say yes. the only caveat to this is that this year and this particular candidate, djt, i try not to say his name, hes so peculiar and unique because hes a celebrity, hes dominated the media, because essentially created a party within a party. >> yep. and because he has no record in public office at all, which is weird. >> not a drop. not a drop. so some of our theories right now are on hold. >> thats an understatement. >> essentia...

>> we dont want to take it for granted, but we are winning in a lot of states. i have to say, the media now, theyre going wild. the medias going wild because theyre saying, you know, this guys winning. in florida. hes winning in north carolina. hes winning in iowa. hes winning in ohio. >> the media isnt quite saying that. well, a rash of new polls suggest the race has tightened slightly, in recent days hillary clinton continues to hold the lead over trump nationally, and a clear lead in enough b...

Points in 538s adjusted polling average. the race is tied in arizona, a state that should be a lay-up for a republican presidential nominee. refusing to add mumit publicly down, trump is suggesting clintons policies are so bad, maybe you shouldnt have an election. >> thinking to myself right now, we should just cancel the election and just give it to trump, right? what are we having it for? >> in case it wasnt clear from the context, that was a joke. the candidate daydreams of that, his stuff st...

Hes winning in ohio. >> the media isnt quite saying that. well, a rash of new polls suggest the race has tightened slightly, in recent days hillary clinton continues to hold the lead over trump nationally, and a clear lead in enough battleground states at this moment to put her over the top. adjusted national polling average, nate silvers 538, shows clinton with a six-point lead over trump overall. adjusted state polling averages slow clinton with leads in all four of the states trump mentioned ...

Election day and do you think this strategy will help him with voters, and is it too little too late to change voters minds with such a strong campaign push across the finish line? >> the only thing he can see at this point is increasing enthusiasm among the people that already support him. if you look at the past few weeks, he really made no effort to expand beyond his own base of support. you could argue he has done a lot to turn away the very voters that he needs, and is that very apparent in...

Matters. if you have any doubt about that, i want you to consider back in 2012, barack lost arizona, the state by 208,000 votes. when you break that number down, the difference between winning and losing the state was only about 63 votes per precinct. yeah. >> yeah. well, the real clear politics polling average has clinton up by 1.5 points in arizona. thats well within the margin of error on these polls but the small lead is notable considering the state has only voted for a democrat in the pres...

From north carolina and its really close. your last segment was about female voters. they will tip the balance in all of these states. when you look at gender balance across all of these states, its as big as weve ever seen and when you combine that with the education gap, we have white women with college degrees going for democratic candidates, which puts lots of southern states in play, not only for clinton, but for the senate candidates. the democrats are in a good position, not as good as cl...

If 63 people in each precinct would have gone the other way, barack would have won arizona and this year we know its much closer here in this state. thats why im here. >> first lady michelle obama on the trail today in the unlikely battleground of arizona. since harry truman won in 1948, arizona has gone blue one other time for bill clinton and his sizable victory in 1996. with hillary clinton currently beating donald trump if you can believe it in the polling average in the state, her campaign ...

I think it will matter to a point, but theyve got to get the stuff out of the headlines, get beyond the women. he cant talk about conspiracies and that sort of thing. i dont think it wins him anybody he doesnt already have. >> ill start with you and go to you on this question. the news that the clinton campaign is trying to expand the map primarily in arizona, sending michelle obama, talking about hillary clinton going there. there are a bunch of other states doing various things, either small t...

Is that because hes successfully exploiting the so-called birther issue? >> maybe. you know, i was with cruz in iowa this week and i didnt find a lot of people, a lot of voters that really seized on this issue. i think you got to look at -- you got to look at a run of polls here. theres a very important poll coming out on wednesday by the des moines register. thats historically been a very accurate poll. trump has performed poorly in that poll the last few times its out. if you look at the polli...