Page 5 - Polling Error News Today

Precedence, what harry reid is able to do, what the unions are able to do, in terms of turnout. >> four years ago, dean hall larhallard was barely -- hillary will win by 4 or 5, and cortez speaks by, the polling average is so close, it wouldnt take a large polling error to win. >> he just narrowly got over, even though it -- >> youve also got, i think the missouri race is the most. >> missouri, kind of like indiana, its not really on the map, in the presidential. theres not a ton of presidential...

Hillary clinton, because prior to this, it was a really interesting split screen and theres beyonce over there without any graphic explanation. but now weve got it. and we also have the breaking news, which deserves to be on the screen too. which is that sam wang is giving this now a 99% certainty, josh, that hillary clintons going to win. >> yeah, i wish were as confident as sam is. >> thats because you cant do calculations with -- what was it? 72 quadrillion possibilities. >> i think he can. >...

Confident as sam is. >> thats because you cant do calculations with -- what was it? 72 quadrillion possibilities. >> i think he can. >> when you look at the -- there are about six of these models, nate silver has one, "the new york times" has one, huffington post, and when you build these models, you put all those inputs in the poll -- from the polls but then there are two sort of knobs that you can turn that affect how high your confidence is. one is how accurate do you think the polling is, an...