Page 3 - Polling Errors News Today

American officials wants the russians to know about otherwise it wouldnt be leaked and somebody would deny it. so far the only person to deny it is the president. which makes you wonder, one, whether he even knows about it, or, two, what benefit he feels hes going to get with putin by pretending that its not true. >> yeah. that is bewildering, isnt it? of course new poll numbers, this time from fox, the presidents favorite. they dont look good, though, for president trump. showing him behind the...

The story lines were following tomorrow? >> i think polling has gotten a bad rap. its generally been pretty accurate. frankly the last polls of the 2016 presidential election had hillary clinton up by three points. she won the popular vote by two points. the national polls were pretty accurate. there was a late break to trump at the end of the 2016 campaign. its not that the polls were wrong its that the voters were feeling differently. there were significant state polling errors especially in w...

Tuesday night. no one else really does. and we are in pretty genuinely uncharted territory, who will be this electorate on tuesday night. >> were looking at drk -- take the house for example, its going to be 20 and 50, between, democratic net gains. its probably going to be between 30 and 40, you know 35. so it would get democrats a gavel. it gets them able to schedule a floor. but not -- you know, anything under 46 is not enough -- its not as many seats as republicans have today. and theyve had...

A big difference in a bunch of seats. >> ive got to say, i have no idea whats going to happen tuesday night. no one else really does. and we are in pretty genuinely uncharted territory, who will be this electorate on tuesday night. >> were looking at drk -- take the house for example, its going to be 20 and 50, between, democratic net gains. its probably going to be between 30 and 40, you know 35. so it would get democrats a gavel. it gets them able to schedule a floor. but not -- you know, anyt...

Points, which is less than they were actually in 2012. in the states you see bigger polling errors in the midwest. you see clinton beat her polls in new york, in california and in oregon and washington. >> now thats interesting. ive been focusing on how state polls underestimated trump support by 7, 8%. thats way beyond the marginal of error. >> that means you rack up a huge number of popular votes and almost match obamas match popular vote so its not simply a matter of the polls underestimating...

The discourse before and after is irresponsible. the national polls will wind up being off by only two points which is less than they were in 2012. in the states you see bigger polling errors in the midwest. you also see clinton beat her polls in new york, in california, oregon, washington. >> thats interesting. ive been focusing on how some state polls underestimated trumps support by 7%, 8%. thats way beyond the margin of error. >> clinton beat her polls by 5 points in california. that means y...