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About when they say that russia will manufacture a pretext for war? what might that look like? >> this is what they have done in the past. they justified the annexation of crimea after a pro russian leader dislodged from the presidency of ukraine in peaceful protest and said that nazis threatening ethnic russians in crimea. in eastern ukraine they acted like an indigenous uprising of russians to prevent domination by ukrainian nationalists and invent pretext and turbo charge it on the propaganda...

Claim that the ukrainian had to shut down the plane. right now, as you said in your report, they are suggesting that, potentially, genocide is happening against the ethnic russian population in eastern ukraine. i think the scenario that the biden team is worried about is that by saying that they are open to diplomacy, but they are de-escalating, the saying theyre pulling back troops, they are trying to create an international impression, that theyre not there to threaten ukraine, that theyre pul...

So, you know, figure out a way to get across that bridge. move the blood, as secretary austin said. move everything into place, but dont go across because hes not yet decided. he knows that the cost to him will be very, very high. >> why put up this pontoon bridge and then take it down, apparently? >> good question. maybe hes figured, jake, that it is too high, that the cost is too high, that the price hell have to pay is just too much for whatever benefits hes going to get. maybe hes decided he...

From western intelligence officials that the russians are likely to create a false flag operation in one of their more extravagant claims, there will be crisis actor, staging something, that would provide for the russians, for vladimir putin, a pretext to invade, under the notion that hes defending the russian-speaking populations of the eastern part of the country, which he has consistently claimed over and over again and without evidence are the subject of genocide, are facing discrimination, ...

Are hurtling towards conflict. this, as the aftermath of an explosion that took place in eastern ukraine today, in the city of gru donetsk which is controlled by pro russian separatists. no one was hurt in the blast. now, russian state media claim that this explosion was caused by ukraine, as tensions between the two sides continue to ratchet up. but american and ukrainian officials say that that explosion was actually staged by russia. and in an attempt to jam up a reason to attack ukraine. the...

As we have set all along, there is a playbook of russian aggression. and this playbook is too familiar to us all. russia will plead ignorance and innocence. it will create false pretext for invasion. and it will amass troops and fire power in plain sight. we now received reports of what appears to be provocations. and we see russia spreading disinformation, lies and p prop propaganda. nonetheless, in a deliberate and coordinated effort, we together, are, one, exposing the truth, and, two, speaki...

Were starting to see indications that the russians are returning to the playbook they used in 2014, that was a playbook that called on them to manufacture a pretext, to point to something, some sort of fabricated provocation and say because of this, we have to take this action. were concerned theyre planning to dot same thing. weve seen misinformation and disinformation and we have very clear indications that the russians may be planning something similar here. all of these things have only led ...

Severe economic consequences should russia invade. >> can you comment on russias investigation into claims of alleged mass graves of civilians supposedly killed by ukrainian forces in the russian-controlled region in eastern ukraine. do you believe its part of the false flag operations youve been warning of. >> sure as you heard the president say yesterday and secretary blinken today, we are in pt window we believe an attack could come any time, and a pretext russians used to launch invasion and...

Top national security officials have been meeting in what they call tiger teams. to plan for prolonged stand off with russia or worst case an invasion of ukraine. we gathered former top national security officials who have done this kind of exercise themselves to consider possible scenarios. in a table top exercise by a nonprofit think take for their take on what vladimir putin might do next and how the u.s. should respond. inside our situation room, the exercise begins with a russian false flag...

To russia, trying essentially, it appears, to create some kind of an elaborate, manufactured refugee crisis. again, thats been speck hated many, many times, before, that this could give president putin some kind of pretext with 600,000 russian passport holders in that part of the country to launch some kind of an incursion. we have heard ukrainian leaders warning of the danger of that and also dismissing as theater and as provocations, these claims from pro-russian separatist leaders in the far ...