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If he understands that it wont be a walk in the park, if he understands that he cannot find the proper pretext. they have this habit of invading other countries but they always need a pretext for that. ukraine is the largest territory—wise country in europe. we have a0 million people. so its very difficult to control such a country when the whole population is hostile against, for example, an invader. we proved it, for example, during the second world war. so, from that perspective, again, put...

Effect. theres no doubt russian capability can quickly overcome ukraine. now whether or not they will do it is a different story all together. putins got to make the calculus, the following calculus. am i going to go ahead and take over all of ukraine, and therefore suffer the really crippling and draconian results of doing that, that well impose on russia and the russian economy. putin himself and cronies holdings and so on or slow-walk this, which is the most likely event, on the pretext of ru...

Going on this morning, frank ly what has been going on for some time in donbas as a pretext for invasion? >> let me remind you that this attack that russia started did not start yesterday and did not start this april. it started in 2014 when russia stole crimea from us and when russia attacked the territories. we leave in this for the past eight years and i have to say i admire how ukrainians and our armed forces show grace under this immense pressure right now. so, yes, we know that there would...

Conventional phase of the battle the russians would prevail, but occupation could prove to be difficult, made more difficult in part by the cohesion that the russians produced with the ukrainian people. but the russians are creating a pretext, with the same pretext they used in 2014. they went into crimea and eastern ukraine to protect their russian citizens. thats what i think will happen. mr. putin always tries to present himself as the imhave, his hand is forced. he thinks this is the best ar...

Days and weeks? find it hard to believe that _ days and weeks? find it hard to believe that the _ days and weeks? find it hard to believe that the recognition - believe that the recognition movies the end of the story. it just does not make sense to have built up this force alone basically everywhere except the border with the separatist regions just to recognise the separatist regions and send the rest of the troops home. i would argue the better way to read what happened is that russia is crea...

Might happen in kyiv in the early stages of this with an assassination campaign and subversion by people who have been infiltrated and are possibly using chemical weapons or some effort to assassinate president zelensky that would enable mr. putin to then claim that theres chaos, and he has to intervene and for peacekeeping purposes. i think thats the greatest concern. what russia is trying to do is build the pretext to invade. its trying to persuade the world, its own people, and avoid the prob...

Council meeting, the us secretary of state warned russia may be trying to engineer a pretext for an invasion — there have been reports that pro—russian forces have shelled a village and hit a kindergarten in eastern ukraine. heres our eastern europe correspondent sarah rainsford heading right for the front line. ukraines president went to meet the troops today and we went with him. if there is an all—out russian invasion, then these positions could be right in its path. so a bit of a moral...

Primary. the republicans allegiance to donald trump is more important than getting to the truth of what happened on january 6th. we will see you shelling intensifies in eastern ukraine as the u.s. warns that russia may use the fighting as a pretext to invade. the question, is moscow now ready to launch military action in ukraine? and, its that conflict on the world stage that sent the dow spiraling yesterday, suffering its worst day of the year. the question is, what impact will further geop...

Precedes to a atrocious actions. >> vladimir putin also talked about his belief, or the way he said it, he believes the united states would find a way to sanction russia no matter what they did, even if they did nothing in the ukraine. and he said the purpose is single, to keep russia behind, to prevent it from developing, and they will do it before, even without any formal pretext, just because we exist. we will never give up our sovereignty, national interest, and our values. what was your rea...

And it is very clumsily done. the russians response that we may now see the pretext laid out for russian troops to cross in and provide that assistance. it also does one thing tactically, too, it focuses the ukrainian military whose might is mostly in the east with the idea that it may come in the separatist areas. now, some western official have been warning that essentially, the strategy here for the russians is to ensure that the troops of ukraine in the east are kind of cut off from the capi...