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Without overcoming its fertility challenge, China risks dying out before it gets rich

Chinese policymakers must somehow implement policies to revive interest in marriage and reduce the cost of raising children without crashing the economy. But even if they increase the number of births, they will almost certainly be unable to reverse demographic trends that have taken hold across the globe.
One Child Policy Hong Kong South Korea Fertility Rate Property Bubble Real Estate
Source: scmp.com

China's huge household savings no guarantee of economic recovery via 'revenge spending'

Stuck at home during repeated lockdowns as part of the country’s zero-Covid policy, Chinese households amassed trillions in savings last year. Some are pinning hopes of economic recovery on ‘revenge spending’, but those savings could be a sign of uncertainty rather than pent-up demand.
Joy City Zero Covid Revenge Spending Household Savings Covid 19 Social Security
Source: scmp.com

Economic recovery, friendshoring and other trends set to dominate in 2023

Optimism is starting to shine through as China pivots away from “zero Covid”, inflation eases and interest rate increases abate. Worrying trends such as ageing populations and high healthcare and energy costs remain, but there is reason to believe this optimism is more than wishful thinking.
Lunar New Year Interest Rates Energy Prices Property Bubble Zero Covid Federal Reserve
Source: scmp.com

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