yes, the transponder is off, yes, to ache acars is off. you have gone out, you think this happened. others think it may have crashed into the indian ocean, to what degree forward do you put together this hypothesis? well, the best i can, with the information i have. not all the information is out along with the pilot simulator, i still believe there is a 60 to 75% chance that i am correct. the aircraft did not crash, and it will be used in a future, radical islamist terrorist movement. i just would not want to speculate on the geo-political aspects of what the isi would have done. i am merely speaking on a tactical aspect this is the pakistan border right here. primary and secondary radar
so we know any radar position would be positioned on the coast, and they got an ability to see any traffic out to about 200 miles out from the coast. anything greater than that it is not going to see. so let s start where the flight started here and take us to the path that we believe the plane took, and then let s see how we can get it to pakistan, why don t you draw that out for our audience so they can see it. there are two options, we can either go via the sea track up towards pakistan. is that about equally distant, by the way, compared to where the destination is? it looks feasible. now, for me this would be the most feasible option because you re outside of radar coverage. now, why is this really important? well, we know when the two chinooks in the osama bin laden raid crossed the afghan border to get there, they were picked up after ten minutes by
yes, the transponder is off, yes, to ache acars is off. you have gone out, you think this happened. others think it may have crashed into the indian ocean, to what degree forward do you put together this hypothesis? well, the best i can, with the information i have. not all the information is out along with the pilot simulator, i still believe there is a 60 to 75% chance that i am correct. the aircraft did not crash, and it will be used in a future, radical islamist terrorist movement. i just would not want to speculate on the geo-political aspects of what the isi would have done. i am merely speaking on a tactical aspect this is the pakistan border right here. primary and secondary radar
so we know any radar position would be positioned on the coast, and they got an ability to see any traffic out to about 200 miles out from the coast. anything greater than that it is not going to see. so let s start where the flight started here and take us to the path that we believe the plane took, and then let s see how we can get it to pakistan, why don t you draw that out for our audience so they can see it. there are two options, we can either go via the sea track up towards pakistan. is that about equally distant, by the way, compared to where the destination is? it looks feasible. now, for me this would be the most feasible option because you re outside of radar coverage. now, why is this really important? well, we know when the two chinooks in the osama bin laden raid crossed the afghan border to get there, they were picked up after ten minutes by
decompression and loss of structural integrity of the airplane. now, we don t know at all if this had that equipment or if indeed this plane was inspected. what are the possibilities of that happening? they have a problem, they start to turn back, and they can t make it? well, the only thing i have with that is, i believe most airplanes have that big round antenna on top of the fuselage. that doesn t then explain the transponder turning off, the acars stopping transmitting signals. if there s a rapid decompression, we would hear a horn, we would get a warning in the cockpit immediately, we put on oxygen masks, there s no hesitation there, that s an immediate memory item on every emergency checklist that has to do with the rapid decompression. and you push it down, go to a lower altitude. and this flight apparently they didn t do that? well, without the black boxes, we don t have the radar coverage of as far as the altitudes properly. of course, that other