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Warren and former vice president joe biden. now, the caution about this poll is that the sample size is really quite small, just under 300 democratic voters, and that means the margin of error is large, plus or minus 5.7 percentage points. a lot. its important to note points. a lot. its important to note the real clear politics polling average still has joe biden with substantial lead although en there, biden, sanders and warren have double-dint support. they seem to be at the top tier. the aver...

Great man. he cant lose 3 million jobs. leading. a new morning consult poll that it will break down the chinese shows biden with a 13-point system of trade. the united states which has lead. never collected 10 cents from and another poll shows biden with 33%. china will in a short period of time be over $100 billion in sanders with 20% and warren with tariffs, so i think they want to make aey deal very badly. 15%. joining us from washington, >> youve recently been saying julia manchester. good m...

Back. you know you have to live in where your world is. their world is my guy is electable, joe biden has talked about that. so is. danger of it, that when you get a bad poll or ultimately lose a primary that suddenly the heart of your message. >> yeah. >> is dented? >> yes. and i think that we should all benefit from not taking too much stock in these polls, right? essentially its just a realtime snapshot of the state of the race. and i think the fundamentals are largely unchanged because the m...

Campaign concerned? >> let me just clarify. i cannot actually endorse anybody, because i chair another group that is completely agnostic among democrats. but i am helping the team in the debate preparations. and i would just say, you know, in looking at this poll, which, as you know, is a very small sample size and last week, there was the cnn poll, which went in an entirely different direction, the safest thing to do is to take a look at the real clear politics average of polls. there have been...

Is the swing among conservative and moderate democrats. 40% in june were supporting joe biden and 10% behind bernie sanders and then 10% at elizabeth warren and joe biden is now at 22% and look at how much support has ticked up for bernie sanders and elizabeth warren. conservative and moderate democrats, what do you attribute the shift to. >> the sample size of the poll was small so we might be looking at an outlier but the trends are similar in terms of other polls in terms of the rise of warre...

Evaporating. poll showing the vice president is in a virtual three-way tie with bernie sanders and warren. warren showed a big surge in the polls. yesterday she drew a crowd of 15,000 people in seattle. lets start with the poll, dana. of course, i think everybody would have protected the race will tighten at some point but right now, in a poll thats an outlier does have him basically in a three-way tie with warren and sanders. would you make of this? >> dana: its a pretty small sample size but i...

Your attention. >> its a small sample size, as you say, just one pole. however, keep an eye specifically on the number that you said second. african-americans in particular. voters of color, yes, but specifically african-americans. they have been his strength so far. if he starts seeing some of that supportive operate, the net campaign is in real trouble. another element from that same pole, he has hemorrhaged support among moderate and conservative-leaning democrats in the last two months. that...

Been seeing with warening, which is a slow but steady climb. for sanders, really probably the best poll he hayes seen this guy page. again, at the top here -- the short answer is we will find out. how closely do other polls resemble this? or is this an outlier? with. this is the margin of roar, 5 to 7 points, its a large margin of error. the sample size of this poll is 298. hey, month most is a quality reputable pollster, the dnc uses them as part of the official criteria for deciding who gets i...

Sanders, elizabeth warren, some say competing for the same voters, a troubling sign for joe biden. the interesting thing is biden campaign is pushing back saying this type of polling is outlier poll. walk us through that argument. they say the most accurate polls are only phone in only polls. >> couple things youre hearing. back to the first screen, you have to read the fine print at the bottom. it is not on that screen. this isnt the first screen. thats why. let me get back to the first screen....

Gun reform measures. you look at the numbers that support background checks. you look at the numbers that support red flag law, voluntary buy back program, even a semi automatic firearms ban. the numbers are staggering. and we should also point out, we dont do this a lot, that poll, sample size, 1,000 people. not a small sample. with the call to action right now, is it working? >> evidence suggests yes. and one example is the red flag laws. those conjure up images for some like north korea. but ...