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November 2, 2012
There is, thankfully, no chance of osama bin laden releasing a videotape this year, because he is dead as a door nail. but we did have an october surprise of a different sort this year. with this giant devastating storm hitting the most densely populated part of the united states. and it really is almost no precedent in american politics for something this large happening outside the political sphere, something this large happening this close to when we vote in an election that is this close. th...
November 2, 2012
Presidential election that year by less than three points. there is, thankfully, no chance of osama bin laden releasing a videotape this year, because he is dead as a door nail. but we did have an october surprise of a different sort this year. with this giant devastating storm hitting the most densely populated part of the united states. and it really is almost no precedent in american politics for something this large happening outside the political sphere, something this large happening this ...
October 25, 2012
>> greg: he should be president of world. or the universe or whatever is greater than the universe. i dont know what it is. it didnt go to school. are europeans much smarter than us? >> bob: no. but obama was there at the big bang and thats why he is should be in charge of the world. i think you have to say when 21,000 people are poll, good sample size. what it says simply is that people in europe and africa and south america prefer to have obama. now that -- what does that mean? it doesnt matte...
October 6, 2012
Assumptions about who is being polled. >> jim garrity talked about the sample size. the other problem is who cares about whether the whole nation thinks one thing or the other. even if the sample size is good, which a lot is not its part of the election. >> part of the narrative for me on the polls we dont get a quick snapshot. 116 people, 500 people and you dont know what the question is. as we know, you can ask a question a lot of different ways to get a lot of different answers. >> jon: its a...
September 30, 2012
And hes up by two points when you count only voters who are psychotically engaged. folks, i have got my own source of polls, conservative blogger dean chambers who analyzed these polls favoring obama and then reached the scientific conclusion that they just didnt look right. chambers work throws all polls into doubt now. even the internal ones i have taken of myself. i mean, the results say im not that excited about mitt romney, but as a conservative i feel like i should love him. maybe the samp...
September 29, 2012
Closer. >> romneys tied when you focus on the inexpressibly intrigued. and hes up by two points when you count only voters who are psychotically engaged. folks, i have got my own source of polls, conservative blogger dean chambers who analyzed these polls favoring obama and then reached the scientific conclusion that they just didnt look right. chambers work throws all polls into doubt now. even the internal ones i have taken of myself. i mean, the results say im not that excited about mitt romn...
September 29, 2012
>> you cant trust polls, right fox news? >> the latest fox news polls give president obama an edge in three key swing states. once you isolate voters who are extremely interested in the election, the race is much closer. >> romneys tied when you focus on the inexpressibly intrigued. and hes up by two points when you count only voters who are psychotically engaged. folks, i have got my own source of polls, conservative blogger dean chambers who analyzed these polls favoring obama and then reached...
September 28, 2012
Like i should love him. maybe the sample size is too small or maybe i checked the wrong box and im actually latino, you know? >> its not a good sign just six weeks from election day to bash the polls. the first presidential debate is next week, next wednesday. looking back to the gop primary debates for a moment, there were probably times when you heard a candidates response and thought, can that really be true? example -- >> this is one thing we know about barack obama, he has essentially han...
September 28, 2012
Fox news? >> the latest fox news polls give president obama an edge in three key swing states. once you isolate voters who are extremely interested in the election, the race is much closer. >> romneys tied when you focus on the inexpressibly intrigued. and hes up by two points when you count only voters who are psychotically engaged. folks, i have got my own source of polls, conservative blogger dean chambers who analyzed these polls favoring obama and then reached the scientific conclusion that...
September 27, 2012
Ill at ease with the polls. cue paul ryan moments ago. here he is. >> are you troubled by the wisconsin polls? and theyre just polls and you always remind me of that. for a while it looked like you could take that state. just a snapshot of the moment but trailing further in that state. >> i dont actually believe the validity of that poll. i wont get into all the methodologies of it. >> which would he believe in? >> one that has him ahead. thats the one he would believe in. the reality is theres ...