trump s numbers into his spread sheets and come up with that percentage and see what that is and then ask the new york times do they still say marco rubio rubio and ted cruz and my dog has a better chance of winning the nomination. the republican establishment to answer the question. why do rules that applied four years ago apply now? it was always the case in 2012. it was a conflict being with the new york times and people who wanted to believe it was all okay. if nate silver s numbers had
the beast. look at the land. that s trufr land. telt r tell me if you re kasich or christie. that s not. we re all talking about new hampshire. look at the day after new hampshire. my god, if all goes south and when it goes south, that is trump land, right. there s also another problem. all of the things for 2015 is the campaigned vote total of trump, cruz, carson, fiorina is well over 50%. if you consolidate all the britishment vote, there might not be enough establishment vote to win this year. only in new hampshire is the nonconservative vote approaching over 50 percent. that s the other thing. what happens in new hampshire will be unlike any other primary
week by week he s suddenly becoming the thing. doing town hall meetings when everybody was ridiculing him months ago. if you look back to what we saw the first time we went to new hampshire and iowa in 2004, everything we re saying, i would not be surprised if john kasich won new hampshire, marco rubio won new hampshire, ted cruz, jeb bush. go down the entire list of all of these people. a month is a lifetime. nobody would have predicted even a day before new hampshire 2008, nobody would have predicted hillary clinton would have won the new hampshire primary.
got big numbers. he turns down from new hampshire, south carolina could begin a southern set of dominos for donald trump. what s fascinating is this is the opposite of ross. the further west he went the stronger his support got. here with trump the further west you go the weaker his support goes. he s not a regional candidate. by the way, that said he s ahead in nevada. what s kind of crazy, they are silent. ted cruz, the one with the
and bernie sanders. on the establishment side, they are a pack of peronas. donald trump could not have set this up more perfectly. and now cruz is getting in the fray because now we hear huckabee and others are going to savage cruz. you literally have donald trump here alone, who everybody is afraid to attack and everybody s savaging themselves to get the chance to run against trump. the things about trump that people continue to underestimate, his biography matters a lot to him. this new ad that deals with the threat is emotional and that s the strongest thing in politics.